An Elly De La Cruz homer in the Reds vs. Brewers divisional rivalry last night cashed in for our MLB home run picks once again! Now, the final day of June is already upon us, and there’s no better way to close out a month than with more dingers. After all, July is the month of the year where it truly is all about baseball, so why not get ready for it with some fireworks? With the entire league back on the diamond, we’ve broken down all the most important factors for locking in the top MLB home run predictions!

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

With all 30 teams back in action, you’ll also want to make the most of more than just MLB home run picks, which is where our MLB expert picks come into play. From other hitter-focused markets like hits+runs+RBI to strikeouts for pitchers and everything in between, we’ve got you covered. That said, feel free to just make even more MLB home run predictions using our exclusive MLB home run prop tool!

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 6/30: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

We said from the start that we’d be breaking down the most important factors, so what are they? For starters, the best MLB home run picks always require our very own MLB weather report. Windy Wrigley alone is reason enough for it, and we’ll also dive into righty/lefty splits for both hitters and pitchers.

Sluggers with high barrel and hard-hit rates are also always on our radar, and when it comes to bullpens, it’s safe to say that some are far worse (or better for HRs) than others. So, let’s fully break down each of our best MLB home run picks for today!

Fernando Tatis, Jr. (+320)

Thankfully, Elly came through for us, because the amazing HR environment of Wrigley Field didn’t. Not only did Pete Crow-Armstrong and Jackson Merrill not go yard, but there wasn’t a single homer hit in the 3-2 game! However, we can’t let one outcome change our approach, so we’re back to Chicago with our best MLB home run picks for today.

Frankly, PCA is in another prime spot for a leadoff homer, and he still had a strong game last night with two hits despite also being walked twice. While he’s a top option, we’re going to take a chance on the San Diego star, who was a meme for quite some time before finally hitting his first homer. While he wasn’t hitting dingers, he’s actually been solid at the plate this year.

With Matthew Boyd on the mound for Chicago, we love that he’s hitting .308 vs. lefties, so we’re leading off our best MLB home run picks for today with Fernando Tatis, Jr. to hit a HR (+320 at bet365).

Pete Alonso (+313)

It may not be Wrigley Field, but Camden Yards is no pitcher-friendly ballpark either, and it’s more like the Windy City than anything today. We’ve got double-digit winds blowing out at nearly the same velocities as Wrigley, so we’re expecting some high exit velocities of baseballs to continue cashing in with our top MLB home run picks.

Another massive factor is the other Chicago team - the White Sox - starting Erick Fedde tonight. The righty has been bad enough to warrant an opener in each of his last four “starts” and even several times prior. Fedde’s been bad against both sides of the plate, so if you want a lefty option, Gunnar Henderson is certainly in play.

Instead, we’ll go with the Polar Bear by adding to our best MLB home run picks for today with Pete Alonso to hit a HR (+313 at Novig).

Mickey Moniak (+290)

If you’ve been following our MLB stolen base picks (you need to be), then you’ll recognize the name Eury Perez. He’s getting the start for the Miami Marlins tonight after seven runs were scored against the Colorado Rockies last night. Otto Lopez would have cashed a longshot pick, and now, we’re swapping to the home team.

Hunter Goodman smashed a round-tripper last night (shocker), and now we’re swapping to the lefty side of the plate. The now-healthy Mickey Moniak is still in need of his first homer after missing a month, and facing the Miami righty, he’ll be getting a vast majority of four-seamers. That means prime opportunities for some high exit velocities.

Several guys should go yard at Coors Field tonight, but we’ll lock in Mickey Moniak to hit a HR (+290 at FanDuel) as one of our best MLB home run picks for today.

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

Now that you’re locked and loaded with our top three targets, it’s time to take things a step further. Let’s do just that by adding to our top MLB home run picks above with our favorite longshot target.

With no homers at Wrigley last night, we know that plenty are coming tonight, which means there is no better spot to lock in a colossal potential payout. We’ve seen Dansby Swanson start turning his season around, so let’s see another Cub turn around his HR drought to help cash our best MLB home run longshot pick for today!
 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

As if the above odds weren’t enticing enough, there is always more to be had. A for-fun-but-juicy parlay is the perfect way to cap off our top MLB home run picks today!

You could also just make one of those names an individual play to swap out one of the first three names we hooked you up with. Regardless, you’re set up for an awesome Tuesday when you capitalize on our best MLB home run picks for today!