It’s time to tee off a new week, and it’s leading into the final weekend of August, so let’s make sure that we keep the momentum rolling into the end of the month and into the NFL season with our best MLB home run picks. The slate features Sutter Health Park and a few starting pitchers worth targeting, so although there are fewer games (10), it’s far from a bad slate in terms of dingers. We’ll get you the names of our top MLB home run predictions today, as well as the factors considered and a full breakdown of each one individually for those interested in more!

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

As promised, the names of our best MLB home run picks are coming right up. However, if you want more than just homer picks, then our MLB expert picks are what you’ll want to check out. Each expert’s record is also there for you to see how successful of a season we’ve been having. Since we’ve also been hitting MLB home run predictions, if you just want more of those, then be sure to check out our exclusive MLB home run prop tool!

 

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 8/24: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

We also promised to share the “why” behind our MLB home run picks, and the first factor we consider before the players themselves is the weather, which is why you always want to have our MLB weather report bookmarked. This will help us avoid games with serious postponement concerns and check on other aspects like wind so that we can dive into the guys on the diamond.

In that regard, we begin with the starting pitchers that will be allowing the MLB home run predictions in terms of their righty/lefty splits, slugging and ISO allowed, hard-hit rates, and more. Hitters have much of the same metrics, including barrel rates and even launch-angle sweet-spot rates for us to consider.

Along with the bullpens that we’ll see on the mound, there is a ton that goes into making sure that you have the best MLB home run picks for today!

Seiya Suzuki (+530)

It didn’t take us long to circle the first spot on the board that we wanted to target for dingers. That’s because we saw that Merrill Kelly was starting for the Arizona Diamondbacks, so not only were we locked in at that point, but we also saw that he was going to have to deal with the Chicago Cubs. That’s a lineup with great targets for MLB home run picks.

While the matchup isn’t at windy Wrigley Field, we still like targeting Arizona, and we also won’t have to worry about that wind blowing in to have the opposite effect of what we’re looking for. Regardless, it doesn’t take much to blast off against Kelly’s 7.23 xERA, including right-handed hitters like Suzuki.

He didn’t go yard like PCA in the Cubs’ 19-run onslaught yesterday, but we still love seeing 15 of his 22 homers coming off righties. So, we’re leading off our best MLB home run picks for today with Seiya Suzuki hitting a HR (+530 at ProphetX).

Kody Clemens (+447)

Well, the next spot that we circled took less than two seconds to find after targeting Kelly, as Jeffrey Springs is back on the menu. While he no longer leads the league in homers allowed after missing almost three weeks, he can certainly get that title back. That’s because MLB home run picks are fantastic for a series at Sutter Health Park.

We’ve noted the Triple-A spot time and time again, so not much needs to be said on that front. When it comes to the opponent today, the Minnesota Twins have a notable name for homers in Byron Buxton as well as under-the-radar guys like Ryan Jeffers and even others in between. Another one worth noting is Royce Lewis.

We’ve decided to lock this in as a lefty-on-lefty crime by adding to our best MLB home run picks today with Kody Clemens hitting a HR (+447 at DraftKings).

Colson Montgomery (+405)

Honestly, we could very, very easily just talk about the Twins bat, as nearly everyone in their lineup has a better spot than entire other teams on this small slate. However, we actually do see value in other spots. We’ll fully admit that this is a hitter that can be very boom or bust, but when it comes to MLB home run picks, that’s really all we’re asking for.

The White Sox shortstop is taking on Kumar Rocker, who has a major lefty power problem. He may be largely known as a ground-ball, low-K pitcher, but this year, he’s allowed a .203 ISO to lefties. Paired with that is Montgomery’s .204 ISO vs. righties. His issue is whiffing, but that’s not where Rocker excels, so he can bounce back from 0-for-4 yesterday.

He’s just three homers away from a 30-homer season, so let’s see a step towards that mark by cashing one of our MLB home run picks with Colson Montgomery hitting a HR (+405 at ProphetX).

🎯 Newsletter Exclusive Pick 🎯

Our top home run picks are above, but we also included one bonus HR play exclusively in today's edition of The Daily Alarm. If you're subscribed, don't forget to check your inbox before lock. If not, sign up for free to get these extra and exclusive picks daily!
 

 

 

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

We always suggest focusing on our top three targets to start and always grabbing the FREE bonus pick, but for those that want even more potential huge payouts, we’ve got you covered as well - here’s our favorite longshot for today!

We’ve already noted half the Twins lineup, so it only makes sense to head back to Sutter Health Park. We just saw the young second baseman go yard two nights ago in San Diego, and again, Springs sets up well for even the most non-power bats. So, we’re locking in the righty as our best MLB home run longshot pick for today.

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

For those who STILL want even juicier payouts, we’ll keep things rolling. In addition to the MLB home run picks that you’ve seen thus far, here’s our top for-fun parlay for the slate!

Any one of those names can be played individually for great value as well. No matter which approach you choose - or multiple of them - add to a lighter Monday slate with some top MLB home run picks!