Hopefully you were able to cash in with as many Friday night fireworks as possible last night (we cashed Seiya Suzuki AND Jac Caglianone HRs yesterday!) and we’re here with our best MLB home run picks for today! We have more afternoon action to target, and let’s not forget that Sutter Health Park is on the menu this weekend as well. The Field of Dreams Game also set the stage for a strong HR weekend with the short dingers there. We’re eyeing longer bombs today, and we’ll break down each of our top MLB home run predictions for you!  

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

If you thought the tool above had you covered from all angles, you can also add to the MLB home run picks below with our MLB expert picks. You’ll find best bets there that expand beyond just HRs to K props, game markets and more. Of course, we also know that some fans just want more MLB home run predictions beyond our top three targets below, so just take advantage of our exclusive MLB home run prop tool!

 

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 8/15: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

You’ve got the names of our best MLB home run picks, but why those guys? Some of the factors may be obvious, but one that can’t be unless you’re boots on the ground is what you can find here: MLB weather report. We already mentioned Sutter Health Park, and with Wrigley Field on the menu this weekend, the wind there is a must-know.

Our MLB home run picks are also affected by the pitchers and hitters themselves, which means breaking down their metrics from the basics like righty/lefty splits to some underlying metrics like expected ISO allowed and expected slugging. We even dive into specific pitch types to see how guys truly match up.

Along with checking the form bullpens are in both season-long and as of late, we cover all bases to ensure that you’re getting the best MLB home run picks for today!

Pete Crow-Armstrong (+385)

Yes, we wrapped up yesterday’s top three targets with a Chicago Cubs hitter, and we know that this is a popular name to target. That said, we’re not going to completely go out of our way when we aren’t seeing invaluable odds down in the low +200’s. So, yes, we’re again focused on the leadoff many at Wrigley Field.

Teammate Seiya Suzuki came through for us yesterday, and against St. Louis Cardinals Michael McGreevy, both he and PCA can absolutely go yard. Sure, having double-digit winds blowing out would be helpful, but it would also create far shorter odds. PCA’s hard-hit rate nearing 50% can absolutely still slice through this afternoon’s gusts (remember, Suzuki just did yesterday).

McGreevy’s xISO vs. lefties is also .232, so we love leading off our best MLB home run picks for today with Pete Crow-Armstrong hitting a HR (+385 at ProphetX).

Griffin Conine (+445)

If you’ve been following our best picks for homers for even a little while, then you also know that another spot that we love is the Great American Ball Park. It may not quite be the aforementioned Sutter Health Park or Coors Field, but it’s great for HRs. Making MLB home run picks becomes even better when we get to see the Reds bullpen on the mound.

We have to admit that Brady Singer has had more strong starts than we would have guessed this season, but his underlying numbers suggest more luck than anything, and he also has an eighth percentile average exit velocity of 90.6 mph. Then, there are the crazy drastic splits of Conine - a colossal .634 slugging vs. righties compared to just .192 vs. lefties.

That’s led to hitting all 13 of his homers vs. righties, including one just three games ago, so let’s see another one by adding to our best MLB home run picks for today with Griffin Conine hitting a HR (+445 at BetMGM Sportsbook). 

Mike Trout (+400)

We keep referring to the Triple-A ballpark in Sacramento, but we’re actually going to be rolling with a different series in California this weekend. We’ve got Royals vs. Angels, and with the Kansas City pitching staff, LA is set up for success. That said, their lineup is quite lackluster, so the top target for MLB home run picks is no surprise.

We say that the KC pitching staff makes things ideal, and on a nightly basis, it’s their bullpen that is absolutely dreadful with the league’s second-highest ERA. Before even taking advantage of that unit, we get to pick on Randy Dobnak, who simply cannot get guys to swing and miss. It’s also even more ideal with the righty struggling more against fellow righties this season.

It all sets up perfectly for the former three-time MVP, so let’s round out our top three MLB home run picks for today with Mike Trout hitting a HR (+400 at FanDuel Sportsbook).

 

 

 

🎯 Newsletter Exclusive Pick 🎯

Our top home run picks are above, but we also included one bonus HR play exclusively in today's edition of The Daily Alarm. If you're subscribed, don't forget to check your inbox before lock. If not, sign up for free to get these extra and exclusive picks daily!

 

 

 

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

Top three MLB home run picks is where many others call it a day, but not only will you get that FREE bonus pick, but we also take things a step further with a longshot target!

When it comes to Sutter Health Park, it’s a spot for even the most non-power of hitters to home - we saw Jeff McNeil AND Lawrence Butler homer last night! Those guys are around +900 today, so why not take advantage of this price for a guy who has 13 homers this year? The Texas Ranger is our best MLB home run longshot pick for today!

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

That’s right - we got multiple steps further! As if our overall best MLB home run picks for today, bonus pick and longshot weren’t enough, here’s today’s top for-fun parlay!

Perhaps you already created your own with our first three names. Perhaps you just want to play the names directly above as individual picks. No matter which approach(es) seem best for you, enjoy some MLB home run picks cashing today!