It’s crazy to think that we’ve already fully gone from trade deadline rumors to playoff positioning, but mid-August is just about here! Thankfully, no matter what time of the season it is, having the best MLB home run picks always makes things more thrilling. They can also make things more valuable, especially when we cash in with our longshot plays! We’re here to hook you up with plus-money winners, and after breaking down the 10-game slate, we’ve come up with our top MLB home run predictions for today!

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

From the red-hot Red Sox in an AL East rivalry to Shohei Ohtani and the Dodgers at home against a horrid Royals pitching staff, there is so much to love when it comes to top MLB home run picks today. That said, if you want more ways to attack the slate, just head here: MLB expert picks! For those who enjoy just tunnel-visioning MLB home run predictions, head here for more targets: MLB home run prop tool!

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 8/10: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

You’ve already seen that we have countless tools for you, and there’s still more! Our MLB weather report is our first stop when uncovering the best MLB home run picks, even before checking out today’s starters. After doing so, we’ll get into their righty/lefty splits, pitch mix, expected metrics, and more.

Hitters themselves also have plenty of expected metrics to get into, and their righty/lefty splits are just as important. While it correlates with the weather report, ballpark locations are also vital, especially when we’re seeing new series get underway. Let’s see which spots had the perfect combination of factors for the best MLB home run picks today!

Junior Caminero (+233)

This first one is far more interesting to break down than it appears on the surface. The surface is simple: an absolute HR monster who cashed for us just the other day at the Triple-A ballpark in Sacramento. That part is simple, but A’s starter Jacob Lopez is the interesting part; the lefty has some of the best (worst for MLB home run picks) numbers in terms of average exit velocity and hard-hit rate.

We tell you this so that you can take that into consideration if you’re one who likes just picking one of our targets and also to illustrate just how advantageous Sutter Health Park can be. Despite those metrics, Lopez has still allowed double-digit homers to righties alone, with a slugging percentage just a tick under .500.

Of course, on top of all that is a massive slugger looking to keep Yordan Alvarez from winning the Triple Crown by winning the HR title. So, we’re still leading off our best MLB home run picks for today with Junior Caminero hitting a HR (+233 at Courtside). 

Drake Baldwin (+395)

The Atlanta Braves just lost their weekend series against the New York Yankees in some strange games with delays and dominant pitching, hence the 2-1 game yesterday. We saw a Matt Olson homer in that finale victory, and while he is always live to go yard in back-to-back games, our MLB home run picks are focused on a different lefty.

They’ll be facing New York Mets starter Christian Scott, who is far from a terrible pitcher, but he can still be had. Lefties are the focus here, and when it comes to hitting righties, we’re all about Baldwin. Over the season, he had the best numbers compared to Olson, Harris, and Acuna; since June 1, it’s even more drastic, and since the All-Star break, it’s absurd.

Since the league came back July 16, the catcher is hitting .423/.712/1.235 against righties with five homers! So, we absolutely love adding to our top MLB home run picks with Drake Baldwin hitting a HR (+395 at bet365).

Willson Contreras (+365)

While the Yankees had a positive weekend, the Boston Red Sox just had their first bad weekend in what felt like forever by losing a series to the A’s of all teams. Well, they’ll be looking to get back on track in an AL East rivalry with the Toronto Blue Jays, and to give AL Cy Young longshot Sonny Gray some run support, we see some MLB home run picks cashing.

That’s because the Jays are starting Jameson Taillon; in other words, a guy known for getting blasted by bombs. He’s allowed 26 of them, and not only is that just three behind the most in the league, but Taillon’s also missed six weeks of the season! That’s absolutely crazy, so several guys for Boston should go yard up over the border.

We’ve got to lock in one for you, so we’ll add to our best MLB home run picks today with Willson Contreras hitting a HR (+365 at DraftKings).

🎯 Newsletter Exclusive Pick 🎯

Our top home run picks are above, but we also included one bonus HR play exclusively in today's edition of The Daily Alarm. If you're subscribed, don't forget to check your inbox before lock. If not, sign up for free to get these extra and exclusive picks daily!
 

 

 

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

Our best MLB home run picks for today AND a bonus target are already under your belt, but we always love having more for you. So, here’s a longshot we love!

After just taking the time to break down Taillon, we just don’t want to leave the Red Sox lineup. Sure, the third baseman may not have power-based metrics, but he has 11 homers this season. He seems to get one over the fence when you least expect it, and now with the awesome matchup, we’re locking in Durbin as our best MLB home run longshot pick for today!

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

Speaking of having more for you, we’ve got the biggest potential payout yet to come. The one directly above is great, but we can go even bigger while still being able to trust the top guys for dingers!

Focus on the top three targets or get some action on it all, but no matter what you decide, it’s all here for you to use (plus the FREE newsletter). Start your week with the most excitement and value possible courtesy of our best MLB home run picks for today!