The SEC race is intensifying, and Week 10 features a showdown with significant College Football Playoff implications as #5 Alabama travels to Baton Rouge to take on #14 LSU. Both teams are 6-2, both have plenty to prove, and a bye week has given each side extra time to prepare for a pivotal conference clash.
With the playoff picture tightening, neither can afford to waste an opportunity to earn a statement win, which is an important aspect when looking to make any #5 Alabama vs. #14 LSU picks. Alabama enters after rallying for a victory over Texas A&M and holds a 4-2 SEC record. LSU has won consecutive games against Mississippi State and Auburn and sits at 3-2 in conference play.
#5 Alabama vs. #14 LSU Predictions for CFB Week 10, Saturday, 11/7
There’s plenty of intrigue on both sidelines. Kalen DeBoer has Alabama firmly in the playoff conversation, while Lane Kiffin is looking to make his first season in Baton Rouge a defining one. LSU will have the advantage of a home crowd at Tiger Stadium, but Alabama has dominated the recent series, winning three straight meetings and 13 of the last 15 dating back to 2011.
Still, this Tigers team has a different feel under Kiffin, especially on offense, where it has shown the ability to score in bunches. That’s what our #5 Alabama vs. #14 LSU predictions will be focused on: the total.
#5 Alabama vs. #14 LSU Expert Pick: Over 52.5 (-106 at Caesars Sportsbook)
Our #5 Alabama vs. #14 LSU picks are expecting an entertaining, high-energy game in this one, and the total stands out as the best place to focus. Both offenses can generate explosive plays, and neither defense has given me enough confidence to expect a low-scoring contest.
LSU’s offense has become increasingly comfortable in Lane Kiffin’s system, averaging 40.1 points per game, a mark tied for seventh nationally. The Tigers have continued to build momentum, scoring 31 points against Mississippi State and 38 against Auburn in their last two outings.
Quarterback Sam Leavitt has been vital to their offense, accounting for seven passing touchdowns and another score on the ground across their two most recent victories without throwing an interception. That’s a sharp improvement from earlier in the season, when turnovers were a more pressing concern.
Leavitt now has 25 total touchdowns, including 17 passing and eight rushing, and he has plenty of support around him. Jackson Harris has caught four touchdowns and amassed 263 receiving yards over the past two games, while Dilin Jones has contributed 51 touches and 260 total yards in that span.
Alabama, meanwhile, has been nearly as productive, averaging 38.2 points per game and ranking 12th nationally. Quarterback Keelon Russell delivered one of his strongest performances of the season against Texas A&M, throwing for 311 yards and three touchdowns to lead the Crimson Tide to a 31–20 comeback win. Rico Scott played a major role, catching six passes for 156 yards.
LSU’s defense, however, is worth noting. The Tigers have been outstanding at home, allowing just 8.8 points per game over five contests, and they’ve been especially stingy lately, giving up only 17 points combined in their past two games.
Even so, those numbers may not tell the whole story. LSU’s home schedule has been favorable, and Alabama brings a different level of offensive talent, including a quarterback and receiving corps capable of testing the Tigers downfield.
On the other side, Alabama is allowing 21.2 points per game, a respectable figure but still below their usual standard. The Tide have surrendered 20, 26, and 20 points in their last three games, and LSU has the balance and explosiveness to keep their defense under pressure throughout the afternoon.
With current #5 Alabama vs. #14 LSU odds having the total set at 52.5, neither team needs to completely overpower the other for the over to cash. A 31-24 finish would be enough, and both offenses have shown they can produce that kind of output. With Leavitt and Russell leading two talented attacks, our #5 Alabama vs. #14 LSU predictions expect plenty of scoring chances in this SEC showdown.
How To Watch #5 Alabama vs. #14 LSU - CFB Week 10
- Date: Saturday, November 7th
- Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
- TV: ABC
#5 Alabama vs. #14 LSU Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
Of course, when evaluating the upcoming matchup and our #5 Alabama vs. #14 LSU predictions, start by reviewing the latest #5 Alabama vs. #14 LSU odds posted by Caesars Sportsbook:
- Money Line (ML): Crimson Tide +192 | Tigers -235
- Spread: Crimson Tide +6 (-110) | Tigers -6 (-109)
- Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)
#5 Alabama vs. #14 LSU Injury Report & Latest News
Alabama Injury Report
- E. Crowell, RB - Questionable (Leg)
- C. Morgan, WR - Questionable (Hamstring)
- A. Walker, WR - Out (Undisclosed)
- J. Ford, TE - Questionable (Arm)
- R. Coleman-Williams, WR - Out (Knee)
LSU Injury Report
- R. Guillory Jr., RB - Questionable (Undisclosed)
- T. Green, TE - Questionable (Undisclosed)
- T. Brown, WR - Questionable (Undisclosed)
- T. Singleton, LB - Questionable (Undisclosed)
- P. Wright III, WR - Out (Undisclosed)
- D. Spears, S - Out (Knee)
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