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2023 Player Outlook

2023 Recap: Holderman showcased some really good things in 2023, highlighted by his 96th percentile fastball velocity and 89th percentile groundball rate. His sinker is a ground ball machine, and his sweeper posted a .185 BAA and 37.2 percent whiff rate last season. There are more strikeouts available to Holderman, and he can improve upon last year's 24.2 percent strikeout rate if he can generate more swings out of the zone. He posted a 14th percentile whiff rate in 2023, and none of his three primary pitches posted a chase rate above 31 percent, including two of his pitches being below 26th percent. 

2024 Outlook: Holderman will be a better asset for Pittsburgh in reality than fantasy baseball managers, as he's too low in the ninth inning hierarchy for the Pirates, making him only useful in likely NL-only setups that value holds. That could change after Aroldis Chapman is likely dealt at the trade deadline, and if Holderman can push his strikeout rate closer to 28-30 percent this season. I love his strikeout-groundball profile, and his ERA in 2024 could be closer to last year's 3.29 FIP than his actual 3.86 ERA.