The UFC returns to Las Vegas, Nevada, for an action-packed main event on Halloween.  Renato “Money” Moicano looks to bring his action-packed fighting style to Tom Nolan and turn back another rising prospect in the division.  This fight has major implications as Moicano’s career starts to come to an end, and Nolan looks to take him place towards the top of the division. The fights kick off at 5:00 PM ET on Paramount+ with the Prelims, and the Main Card starts at 8:00 PM ET.

Check out all the latest UFC odds, stats, predictions, and matchup breakdowns for the entire fight card below, and always feel free to reach out to me on Discord or on Twitter at @MikeIannoneDFS. Now let's look at some UFC DFS top picks and plays for Saturday's event. Good luck with your MMA daily fantasy lineups!

MMA DFS Playbook for UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan

Main Event

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan

8000/8200

-

Stackability: Moderate

-122/+102

 
This lightweight matchup is a perfect stylistic clash. Moicano should look to get this fight to the ground, and he has a clear advantage. If he gets this fight to the ground and Nolan’s suspect chin comes out, this could be a quick fight.  I’m backing Moicano to win this fight by submission.

Expensive Fighters

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

Lucia Szabova

9600

Tainara Lisboa

Somewhat-Safe

-700

-300

She has high upside to finish, she will look to mix in some grappling. Once Lisboa slows, this fight is all Szabova’s.
Joe Kropschot

9300

Nick Klein

Somewhat-Safe

-325

-200

Kropschot is going to find the finish at some point, but he is very green, so this isn’t a guarantee. This is a week with a lot of questionable high priced plays.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

9200

Farman Hasanov

Somewhat-Safe

-298

-250

Lebosnoyani is another highly volatile fighter that is likely to win by finish. He has to win by KO to payoff his price.
Zachary Reese

9100

Mickey Gall

Moderate

-310

200

Reese is bigger, stronger, and has more durability than Gall. If he can get a takedown this fight is over almost immediately.  
Luana Santos

8900

Yana Santos

Moderate

-255

180

Her upside is 12 minutes of control time and 100+ strikes. She could look bad in this fight, but if she can get her control game going she dominates this fight.

Mid-Range Fighters

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

JeongYeong Lee

8600

Julian Erosa

Moderate

-175

300

This fight is probably going to lead to someone being on the optimal lineup. Erosa is extremely chinny at times, and though Lee can be low volume he is powerful enough to KO Erosa.
Rodrigo Sezinando

8500

Theodor Berggren

Moderate

-170

220

He is a strong wrestler and has good odds to win this fight. Theodor looks to have been someone who crushed low-level competition on his way to the UFC.
Ode’ Osbourne

8300

Cody Durden

Somewhat-Risky

-108

350

Osbourne has the speed and the reach, but Durden is a menace for the first five minutes. If he wins, it likely will be a round two KO.
Cody Durden

7900

Ode’ Osbourne

Somewhat-Risky

-112

280

Durden has five minutes of offense before he gasses out but he could finish the fight in those five minutes. I like both sides of this fight for DraftKings this week, but not in the same lineup.

Pay-Down Fighters

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

Randy Brown

7400

Jacobe Smith

Somewhat-Risky

+225

400

Smith was wobbled a bit in his last fight, so Brown has more than enough power to end the fight early. If he doesn’t KO Smith, this is likely a drawn-out battle that ends with Brown gassing out.
Yana Santos

7300

Luana Santos

Risky

+210

350

Santos will throw more volume, but she needs to avoid being controlled on the cage. She will score well on DK if she can find the late finish after Luana gasses out.
Farman Hasanov

7200

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Risky

+240

450

He’s durable, but this is another low-level fight. Sometimes just being tougher is more than enough to be able to win the fight.
Dakota Hope

7500

Francis Marshall

Risky

+200

380

Hope has power, but he is wild. He can win by KO but he doesn’t have the technical ability to stay with Marshall on the feet or the ground; there is a chance he just outmuscles Marshall.

Sample Lineup

Live Dogs

Nolan, Brown, Osbourne, Hope

 

Picks and Stats

Renato Moicano

vs

Tom Nolan

$8,000

DFS Salary

$8,200

21-7-1

Record

11-1-0

2

Knockouts

5

11

Subs

1

-122

Vegas Odds

+102


 

Randy Brown

vs

Jacobe Smith

$7,400

DFS Salary

$8,800

20-8-0

Record

13-0-0

8

Knockouts

8

3

Subs

2

+225

Vegas Odds

-278


 

Ode’ Osbourne

vs

Cody Durden

$8,300

DFS Salary

$7,900

13-9-0

Record

18-11-1

7

Knockouts

5

2

Subs

4

-108

Vegas Odds

-112


 

Yana Santos

vs

Luana Santos

$7,300

DFS Salary

$8,900

17-8-0

Record

11-2-0

3

Knockouts

2

4

Subs

5

+210

Vegas Odds

-255


 

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

vs

Farman Hasanov

$9,200

DFS Salary

$7,200

11-2-0

Record

6-0-0

6

Knockouts

3

1

Subs

1

-298

Vegas Odds

+240


 

Francis Marshall

vs

Dakota Hope

$8,700

DFS Salary

$7,500

10-3-0

Record

11-2-0

4

Knockouts

5

2

Subs

1

-245

Vegas Odds

+200


 

Rodrigo Sezinando

vs

Theodor Berggren

$8,500

DFS Salary

$7,700

9-2-0

Record

8-4-0

3

Knockouts

4

2

Subs

1

-170

Vegas Odds

+142


 

Julian Erosa

vs

JeongYeong Lee

$7,600

DFS Salary

$8,600

31-14-0

Record

11-3-0

10

Knockouts

6

5

Subs

2

+145

Vegas Odds

-175


 

Zachary Reese

vs

Mickey Gall

$9,100

DFS Salary

$7,100

10-4-0

Record

7-7-0

5

Knockouts

1

2

Subs

5

-310

Vegas Odds

+250


 

Nick Klein

vs

Joe Kropschot

$6,900

DFS Salary

$9,300

6-3-0

Record

9-3-0

3

Knockouts

5

1

Subs

2

+260

Vegas Odds

-325


 

Talita Alencar

vs

Piera Rodriguez

$7,000

DFS Salary

$9,200

8-1-1

Record

12-2-0

1

Knockouts

2

4

Subs

6

+240

Vegas Odds

-298


 

 

Lucia Szabova

vs

Tainara Lisboa

$9,600

DFS Salary

$6,600

12-0-0

Record

7-4-0

4

Knockouts

2

5

Subs

3

-700

Vegas Odds

+500