UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs Makhachev takes place this Saturday from Madison Square Garden in New York City.  The card kicks off with the Early Prelims at 6:00 PM EST on ESPN+, followed by the Prelims at 8:00 PM EST on ESPNNews, and finally the Main Card at 10:00 PM EST on ESPN+ PPV.  This card features two title challengers looking to claim belts in new divisions as Islam Makhachev steps up to challenge for the 170lb title against Jack Della Maddalena.  Weili Zhang moves up to the 125lb division as she takes on the #1 Women’s Pound for Pound fighter, Valentina Schevchenko. Both of these fights should be nonstop action in a totally stacked card.

Check out all the latest UFC on ESPN odds, stats, predictions, and matchup breakdowns for the entire fight card below, and always feel free to reach out to me in Discord or on Twitter at @MikeIannoneDFS. Now let's look at some UFC DFS top picks and plays for Saturday's event. Good luck with your MMA daily fantasy lineups!
 

 


 

MMA DFS Playbook for UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs Makhachev

Main Event

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev

7000/9200

-

Stackability: Low

215/ -290

400./120.

Islam Makhachev has been dominant at 155lbs and he looks to continue that domination when he makes a run for the 170lb title. JDM is a great boxer but has been taken down by anyone who tries so expect a grappling heavy approach from Islam. Islam has been chin checked a few times so he is hittable but I have a hard time seeing him allowing this fight to stay standing. I'm taking Islam to win by early sub, but if this gets into the later rounds JDM could be live for a late finish.


 

Expensive Fighters

Expensive

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

Baisangur Susurkaev

9800

Eric McConico

Somewhat-Safe

-1,100

-500 

Susurkaev is a bit of an unknown hyped up prospect but he has a ton of power. He's a good wrestler as well so he could mix in takedowns. I expect him to win this fight easily, but at his price he'll need 110+ pts to fight for the optimal lineup unless we see a ton of dogs winning.
Kyle Daukaus

9300

Gerald Meerschaert

Somewhat-Safe

-400 

+1,100 

Daukaus is the GPP play this week. He is $500 cheaper than Susurkaev, but I think he is about as likely to finish early as he is. The difference is if this gets into the later stages of R2 I could see GM3 taking over the fight. I think Daukaus gets the early KO before GM3 can get going.
Erin Blanchfield

9000

Tracy Cortez

Somewhat-Safe

-260 

+110 

Blanchfield is a great DK scorer, but she has a decent wrestler in front of her in Cortez. At her best she scores multiple takedowns and wins by submission in R1/2, and at her worst she probably scores 90 in a decision.
Bo Nickal

9100

Rodolfo Vieira

Moderate

-245 

240. 

Nickal is a tough click this week after some disappointing fights. He can 100% can this fight to the ground if he wants, and he can keep it standing if he wants. My issue is sometimes against experienced BJJ players he has opted to keep it standing which leads to a low level striking battle. If he wrestles he can score 100+, if he tries to strike the whole time I expect the winner of this fight to score in the 60s.
Benoit Saint Denis

8800

Beneil Dariush

Moderate

#N/A

-175

Saint Denis is another fighter who I am not overly confident in winning, but I'm confident that if he wins he is going to score well. Benoit is hell on wheels for the 1st round, and the 1st round is normally Dariush's worst so it's possible he gets the early finish here. If this gets into R2, I'll start to get nervous that he fades.



 

Mid-Range Fighters

Mid-Range

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

Malcolm Wellmaker

8400

Cody Haddon

Moderate

-500 

N/A 

Wellmaker is going to come in as one of the highest owned fighters on the slate, which is tough to do when there is a 5 round co-main event priced at 8200/8000. Wellmaker is getting a short notice opponent and I expect him to close around a -700 favorite. He likely gets the early KO here, I don't see much reason to fade him unless you want to be contrarian.
Valentina Shevchenko

8200

Zhang Weili

Moderate

-128 

450. 

This is almost a must play fight in the mid range. Valentina should be able to get some takedowns, but on the feet this is a very close fight. I expect Valentina to be able to win more minutes and get the decision and at the rate these two woman work even in a decision I expect the winner to score 90+.
Zhang Weili

8000

Valentina Shevchenko

Somewhat-Risky

100 

425. 

This is the second champion moving up a weight class in search of a new title on the card. Weili is going to out volume Valentina, and she has been improving her wrestling, but this isn't the matchup for her to shoot takedowns. This fight is a tossup, but I'll have more Valentina in my lineups.
Pat Sabatini

8300

Chepe Mariscal

Somewhat-Risky

-125 

450. 

Sabatini has the takedown upside here, and if he has his way, he'll be landing multiple takedowns and keeping this fight on the ground. His durability is a question sometimes, but if he wins the fight, I expect him to score well. On a normal card he would be a much higher play but with the 5-round fight, and a mispriced Wellmaker he is clearly behind them.
Gregory Rodrigues

8600

Roman Kopylov

Somewhat-Risky

-188 

130. 

"Robocop" is similar to Sabatini with high upside, but questionable durability. Rodrigues is a good grappler, and Kopylov has questionable takedown defense but Rodrigues has been known to not use his easiest path to win his fights. I don't want to be overexposed here because I can't trust him to wrestle, but if he does, he could look like a -400 favorite.
Sean Brady

8500

Michael Morales

Somewhat-Risky

-148 

200

Brady needs to wrestle but unlike some others in this range he knows he has to. On the feet Morales is going to piece him up, but Morales hasn't faced anyone who can wrestle like Brady yet. This fight is lined close, but I expect by the end of the first round we have a clear idea on who is going to win the fight. If Brady gets his takedowns and can hold Morales down, he has a huge ceiling.
Roman Kopylov

7600

Gregory Rodrigues

Risky

146 

225. 

I expect this to be a war, and Kopylov is a good striker who could give Rodriges problems. Rodrigues is going to start bleeding almost instantly once he is hit so if this fight is close it'll look like Kopylov is doing more damage. He just needs to keep it standing.



 

Paydown Fighters

Pay-Downs 

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

Viacheslav Borshchev

7500

Matheus Camilo

Somewhat-Risky

126 

240. 

Borshchev is similar to Kopylov, if he keeps it standing, he can compete in this fight. Slava is a tough fighter, but he is starting to slow down a bit from all the wars he has been in. He needs to make this fight a brawl to take advantage of the better wrestler in Camilo.
Leon Edwards

7300

Carlos Prates

Somewhat-Risky

154 

500. 

Edwards is another fighter who could wrestle to a victory, but he has outwardly said he doesn't want to this week. Edwards has always been a clean striker, but he can be low volume at times. I expect Prates to land the bigger shots and do a little bit more on the feet than Edwards, but this should be close.
Rodolfo Vieira

7100

Bo Nickal

Risky

186 

350. 

Vieira is one of the best submission specialists in the world, so if Bo shoots for a takedown and isn't careful, he could be subbed. My issue here is that Rodolfo has bad wrestling so he won't be able to get the fight down unless Bo wants it there.
Gerald Meerschaert

6900

Kyle Daukaus

Risky

285 

550. 

GM3 is always live for the late finish, but he has to go through a battle in the early part of the fight to get there. I don't think he gets it done this week but he is one of the few fighters priced this low that has true finishing upside.
Tracy Cortez

7200

Erin Blanchfield

Risky

196 

900. 

Cortez is rematching Blanchfield and she won the initial fight, but that fight took place when Blanchfield was only 19 years old. This should go to decision, but I don't think she'll be able to outwrestle Blanchfield.
Angela Hill

6700

Fatima Kline

Risky

350 

1,40 

These are the spots we used to target Hill, but she is now 41 years old. I don't expect her to be able to beat Kline standing, or if the fight goes to the ground.
Eric McConico

6400

Baisangur Susurkaev

Risky

600 

900. 

He has more experience than his opponent, but he is giving up a lot in terms of explosiveness. This is a bunch of inexperienced fighters so there is a chance for a major upset, but I think the odds are right so he is a big longshot.


 

Sample Lineup

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AI-generated content may be incorrect.


 

Live Dogs

Della Maddalena, Dariush, Borshchev, Zhang

Picks and Stats

   

Jack Della Maddalena

vs

Islam Makhachev

$7,000

DFS Salary

$9,200

Record: 18-2-0

Record

Record: 27-1-0

12

Knockouts

5

2

Subs

13

215

Vegas Odds

-290

   

Valentina Shevchenko

vs

Zhang Weili

$8,200

DFS Salary

$8,000

Record: 25-4-1

Record

Record: 26-3-0

8

Knockouts

11

7

Subs

8

-128

Vegas Odds

100

   

Sean Brady

vs

Michael Morales

$8,500

DFS Salary

$7,700

Record: 18-1-0

Record

Record: 18-0-0

3

Knockouts

13

6

Subs

1

-148

Vegas Odds

116

   

Leon Edwards

vs

Carlos Prates

$7,300

DFS Salary

$8,900

Record: 22-5-0 (1 NC)

Record

Record: 22-7-0

7

Knockouts

17

3

Subs

3

154

Vegas Odds

-200

   

Beneil Dariush

vs

Benoit Saint Denis

$7,400

DFS Salary

$8,800

Record: 23-6-1

Record

Record: 15-3-0 (1 NC)

5

Knockouts

4

8

Subs

11

164

Vegas Odds

-200

 

0

 

Bo Nickal

vs

Rodolfo Vieira

$9,100

DFS Salary

$7,100

Record: 7-1-0

Record

Record: 11-3-0

2

Knockouts

1

4

Subs

9

-245

Vegas Odds

186

   

Roman Kopylov

vs

Gregory Rodrigues

$7,600

DFS Salary

$8,600

Record: 14-4-0

Record

Record: 17-6-0

12

Knockouts

11

0

Subs

3

146

Vegas Odds

-188

   

Erin Blanchfield

vs

Tracy Cortez

$9,000

DFS Salary

$7,200

Record: 13-2-0

Record

Record: 12-2-0

2

Knockouts

1

4

Subs

1

-260

Vegas Odds

196

   

Malcolm Wellmaker

vs

Ethyn Ewing

$8,400

DFS Salary

#N/A

Record: 10-0-0

Record

Record: 8-2-0

6

Knockouts

6

2

Subs

1

-500

Vegas Odds

#N/A

   

Kyle Daukaus

vs

Gerald Meerschaert

$9,300

DFS Salary

#6,900

Record: 16-4-0 (1 NC)

Record

Record: 37-20-0

2

Knockouts

6

11

Subs

29

-400

Vegas Odds

285

   

Pat Sabatini

vs

Chepe Mariscal

$8,300

DFS Salary

$7,900

Record: 20-5-0

Record

Record: 18-6-0 (1 NC)

2

Knockouts

7

12

Subs

3

-125

Vegas Odds

106

   

Angela Hill

vs

Fatima Kline

$6,700

DFS Salary

$9,500

Record: 18-15-0

Record

Record: 8-1-0

5

Knockouts

4

1

Subs

1

350

Vegas Odds

-520

   

Baisangur Susurkaev

vs

Eric McConico

$9,800

DFS Salary

#6,400

Record: 10-0-0

Record

Record: 10-3-1

8

Knockouts

4

1

Subs

3

-110

Vegas Odds

600

   

Viacheslav Borshchev

vs

Matheus Camilo

$7,500

DFS Salary

$8,700

Record: 8-6-1

Record

Record: 9-3-0

6

Knockouts

4

0

Subs

2

126

Vegas Odds

-162

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