Noche UFC DFS Picks & Lineups: Lopes vs. Silva Cheat Sheet, 9/13
UFC Noche: Lopes vs Silva takes place this Saturday live from San Antonio, Texas. The card kicks off with the Early Prelims at 3:00 PM EST on ESPN+, followed by the Main Card at 6:00 PM on ESPN+ PPV. The Main Event features Diego Lopes and Jean Silva, who both are always looking to clash in the pocket. Both of these men are trying to get into the title picture, and with a statement win here, they could easily be the next contenders for the belt.
Check out all the latest UFC on ESPN odds, stats, predictions, and matchup breakdowns for the entire fight card below, and always feel free to reach out to me in Discord or on Twitter at @MikeIannoneDFS. Now let's look at some UFC DFS top picks and plays for Saturday's event. Good luck with your MMA daily fantasy lineups!
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MMA DFS Playbook for UFC Noche: Lopes vs Silva
Main Event | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva | 7000/9200 | - | Stackability: Low | 195/ -235 | 380./-115 |
| A great matchup that could give the winner a title shot against Volk for the 145lb belt. Lopes is durable, has great Jiu Jitsu, and has power in his hands. Silva is a cleaner striker, has better timing, and just as much power but can be outworked. This should be a very close fight, and I don’t have a strong lean, but for that reason I am going to go with the more well-rounded fighter who we have seen go five rounds before in Lopes. | |||||
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Expensive Fighters
Expensive | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
| Tatiana Suarez | 9400 | Amanda Lemos | Somewhat-Safe | -460Â | -110Â |
| Suarez has great wrestling and exceptional submission skills, which is where you can really dominate Lemos. If this stays standing Suarez is in trouble, but Suarez should be able to get this down whenever she wants so she is my safest play this week. | |||||
| Dusko Todorovic | 9300 | Jose Daniel Medina | Somewhat-Safe | -350 | 150. |
| Dusko is the opposite of safe. He has power, but he’s getting older and chinny so I can't trust him. This is a good play for large GPPs (1000+ entries) outside of that I am not going to be playing him this week since there are safer options although they might not have the same ceiling). | |||||
| Alessandro Costa | 9500 | Alden Coria | Somewhat-Safe | -440 | 110. |
| Costa wins fights when he isn't fighting the top 15 of the division and this is a step back in competition for him. He can be low volume at times, but he has the power to KO almost anyone. He won't score well in a decision, but he has the upside to end this fight early. | |||||
| Zachary Reese | 8900 | Sedriques Dumas | Moderate | -250Â | -175Â |
| This fight is similar to the Dusko fight where I can't trust either of these guys. Dumas has admitted he is broke, he was arrested again this year which I think puts him in the double digits so who knows how much he is training. Reese is all action until he gasses out, but that is what gives him the huge upside. | |||||
| Daniil Donchenko | 8800 | Rodrigo Sezinando | Moderate | -215 | 100. |
| Donchenko was a finalist on TUF so he has some UFC push behind him. He has good striking, good power, and mixes it up well to the body and head. I like him to get the finish here but he is a very unproven prospect so I can't put him higher. | |||||
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Mid-Range Fighters
Mid-Range | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
| Alexander Hernandez | 8400 | Diego Ferreira | Moderate | -113 | 250. |
| Hernandez is great when he has physical advantages, and against an aging Diego Ferreira he should be able to have them. It is going to be tough early, but once you break Ferreira he can be finished. | |||||
| Quang Le | 7900 | Santiago Luna | Moderate | 108 | 300. |
| Going out on a limb here a little, but I think Le can wrestle and win this fight by making it ugly. Le needs to wrestle to have any chance here, but he is reliable and normally shoots early on so I expect him to do the same here. | |||||
| Claudio Puelles | 8200 | Joaquim Silva | Somewhat-Risky | -113 | 250. |
| Puelles is a submission or bust type of fighter. His striking and wrestling are not good, but if he gets a hold of his opponent he normally ends the round in a good position. He doesn't score great on DK but at $8200 you are banking on him getting the early finish. | |||||
| Rob Font | 8500 | David Martinez | Somewhat-Risky | -142 | 550. |
| Font has a ton of volume, but his durability is starting to go. He should be able to land 100+ significant strikes if this fight goes the distance. He doesn't have much upside but I think he wins the fight. | |||||
| David Martinez | 7700 | Rob Font | Somewhat-Risky | 112 | 450. |
| Martinez has power and quick striking, if he lands on Font he could drop him. This is a big step up in competition for him so it could be tough. Any underdog with a better ITD than the favorite always has to be in play. | |||||
| Montse Rendon | 7600 | Alice Pereira | Somewhat-Risky | 120 | 600. |
| The mid-range is tough this week with how few fighters are in it, but I think Gustafsson is going to be one of the dogs who gets some ownership. He is reckless in the cage constantly moving forward and his wrestling can score well on DraftKings. He needs to be defensively responsible if he wants to avoid getting KO'd which I don't know if he can do. | |||||
| Alice Pereira | 8600 | Montse Rendon | Risky | -158 | 330. |
| She is the youngest woman in UFC history at only 19 years old and she gets a tough test. Rendon has never finished an opponent so I don't want to pick her so if I am picking anyone in this fight I'll take a shot on the quick striker that the UFC is trying to push. | |||||
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Paydown Fighters
Pay-Downs | |||||
Fighter(s) | Price | Opponent | Risk | Odds | ITD |
| Rafa Garcia | 7100 | Jared Gordon | Somewhat-Risky | 190 | 500. |
| Rafa is more powerful than Gordon, but Gordon can push a pace that can break fighters. Rafa has a high ceiling in a finish and at his price any win will help your lineup. I expect him to be able to outmuscle Gordon here. | |||||
| Jesus Aguilar | 7500 | Luis Gurule | Somewhat-Risky | 172 | 380. |
| I'm just not a big fan of Gurule. Gurule doesn't throw much volume, and is one dimensional. Gurule has a bad KO loss to Ode Osbourne, and was taken down ten times on the contender series so I'm not going to look to use him this week until he proves himself as an all around fighter.. | |||||
| Dustin Stoltzfus | 7200 | Kelvin Gastelum | Risky | 210 | 800. |
| This fight is in question with Gastelum missing by 5lbs. I don't know what to think of Gastelum, he is a good boxer but he isn't someone you can trust. Stoltzfus is going to come out and fight hard, if he can push a pace he might be able to gas out Kelvin and get the win. | |||||
| Sedriques Dumas | 7300 | Zachary Reese | Risky | 190 | 300. |
| Dumas is low volume, but I don't think Reese let's him be comfortable. Someone here should score well, and while I don't love Dumas, this line is too wide. His kickboxing is OK and if Reese gasses out he could take over late. | |||||
| Jose Daniel Medina | 6900 | Dusko Todorovic | Risky | 255 | 550. |
| Medina can grind on someone but he lacks physicality. At his price, and Dusko looking worse every fight out, I'll be taking a chance on him being able to wear down Dusko. This is not a safe play at all but I keep feeling like Dusko's run in the UFC is over. | |||||
| Amanda Lemos | 6800 | Tatiana Suarez | Risky | 320 | 650. |
| Lemos is powerful striking but her takedown defense isn't good. On the feet she should be able to piece up Suarez, but she needs to keep it standing. If she gets taken down once, she is probably on the ground for extended amounts of time. | |||||
| Rodrigo Sezinando | 7400 | Daniil Donchenko | Risky | 164 | 330. |
| Sezinando wasn't able to get any finishes on TUF, but these matchups are always hit or miss with the levels of competition. He came into TUF with three straight finishes so he still does have some upside. I just think Daniil is better, but these are low level fighters, and a well-rounded fighter like Rodrigo is definitely live in this spot. | |||||
| Alden Coria | 6700 | Alessandro Costa | Risky | 310 | 550. |
| Coria is decent and probably one of the better debuting fighters on the card but Costa is a very tough first test in the UFC. In his next UFC fight I'll likely look to pick him but this looks like too much too soon. | |||||
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Sample Lineup
Live Dogs
Lopes, Garcia, Medina, Le
Picks and Stats
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Diego Lopes | vs | Jean Silva |
$7,000 | DFS Salary | $9,200 |
Record: 26-7-0 | Record | Record: 16-2-0 |
10 | Knockouts | 12 |
12 | Subs | 3 |
+195 | Vegas Odds | -235 |
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Rob Font | vs | David Martinez |
$8,500 | DFS Salary | $7,700 |
Record: 22-8-0 | Record | Record: 12-1-0 |
9 | Knockouts | 10 |
4 | Subs | 0 |
-142 | Vegas Odds | +125 |
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Rafa Garcia | vs | Jared Gordon |
$7,100 | DFS Salary | $9,100 |
Record: 17-4-0 | Record | Record: 21-7-0 (1 NC) |
1 | Knockouts | 8 |
8 | Subs | 2 |
190 | Vegas Odds | -250 |
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Kelvin Gastelum | vs | Dustin Stoltzfus |
$9,000 | DFS Salary | $7,200 |
Record: 20-10-0 (1 NC) | Record | Record: 16-7-0 |
5 | Knockouts | 3 |
5 | Subs | 6 |
-280 | Vegas Odds | -175 |
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Alexander Hernandez | vs | Diego Ferreira |
$8,400 | DFS Salary | $7,800 |
Record: 17-8-0 | Record | Record: 19-6-0 |
7 | Knockouts | 5 |
2 | Subs | 7 |
-113 | Vegas Odds | -113 |
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Santiago Luna | vs | Quang Le |
$8,300 | DFS Salary | $7,900 |
Record: 6-0-0 | Record | Record: 9-2-0 |
2 | Knockouts | 2 |
4 | Subs | 4 |
-138 | Vegas Odds | 108 |
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Jose Daniel Medina | vs | Dusko Todorovic |
$6,900 | DFS Salary | $9,300 |
Record: 11-5-0 | Record | Record: 12-6-0 |
8 | Knockouts | 8 |
2 | Subs | 3 |
255 | Vegas Odds | -350 |
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Claudio Puelles | vs | Joaquim Silva |
$8,200 | DFS Salary | $8,000 |
Record: 13-4-0 | Record | Record: 13-6-0 |
2 | Knockouts | 7 |
7 | Subs | 3 |
-113 | Vegas Odds | -113 |
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Tatiana Suarez | vs | Amanda Lemos |
$9,400 | DFS Salary | $6,800 |
Record: 11-1-0 | Record | Record: 15-4-1 |
2 | Knockouts | 8 |
5 | Subs | 3 |
-460 | Vegas Odds | 320 |
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Jesus Aguilar | vs | Luis Gurule |
$7,500 | DFS Salary | $8,700 |
Record: 11-3-0 | Record | Record: 10-1-0 |
1 | Knockouts | 5 |
7 | Subs | 1 |
172 | Vegas Odds | -225 |
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Zachary Reese | vs | Sedriques Dumas |
$8,900 | DFS Salary | $7,300 |
Record: 9-2-0 | Record | Record: 10-3-0 |
5 | Knockouts | 4 |
2 | Subs | 2 |
-250 | Vegas Odds | 190 |
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Alessandro Costa | vs | Alden Coria |
$9,500 | DFS Salary | $6,700 |
Record: 14-4-0 | Record | Record: 10-3-0 (1 NC) |
5 | Knockouts | 4 |
6 | Subs | 4 |
-440 | Vegas Odds | 310 |
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Montse Rendon | vs | Alice Pereira |
$7,600 | DFS Salary | $8,600 |
Record: 6-1-0 | Record | Record: 6-0-0 |
0 | Knockouts | 4 |
0 | Subs | 1 |
120 | Vegas Odds | -158 |
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Rodrigo Sezinando | vs | Daniil Donchenko |
$7,400 | DFS Salary | $8,800 |
Record: 9-1-0 | Record | Record: 12-2-0 |
4 | Knockouts | 7 |
3 | Subs | 2 |
164 | Vegas Odds | -215 |
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