UFC Noche: Lopes vs Silva takes place this Saturday live from San Antonio, Texas.  The card kicks off with the Early Prelims at 3:00 PM EST on ESPN+, followed by the Main Card at 6:00 PM on ESPN+ PPV.  The Main Event features Diego Lopes and Jean Silva, who both are always looking to clash in the pocket.  Both of these men are trying to get into the title picture, and with a statement win here, they could easily be the next contenders for the belt.

Check out all the latest UFC on ESPN odds, stats, predictions, and matchup breakdowns for the entire fight card below, and always feel free to reach out to me in Discord or on Twitter at @MikeIannoneDFS. Now let's look at some UFC DFS top picks and plays for Saturday's event. Good luck with your MMA daily fantasy lineups!
 

 


 

MMA DFS Playbook for UFC Noche: Lopes vs Silva

Main Event

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva

7000/9200

-

Stackability: Low

195/ -235

380./-115

A great matchup that could give the winner a title shot against Volk for the 145lb belt. Lopes is durable, has great Jiu Jitsu, and has power in his hands. Silva is a cleaner striker, has better timing, and just as much power but can be outworked. This should be a very close fight, and I don’t have a strong lean, but for that reason I am going to go with the more well-rounded fighter who we have seen go five rounds before in Lopes.


 

Expensive Fighters

Expensive

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

Tatiana Suarez

9400

Amanda Lemos

Somewhat-Safe

-460 

-110 

Suarez has great wrestling and exceptional submission skills, which is where you can really dominate Lemos. If this stays standing Suarez is in trouble, but Suarez should be able to get this down whenever she wants so she is my safest play this week.
Dusko Todorovic

9300

Jose Daniel Medina

Somewhat-Safe

-350 

150. 

Dusko is the opposite of safe. He has power, but he’s getting older and chinny so I can't trust him. This is a good play for large GPPs (1000+ entries) outside of that I am not going to be playing him this week since there are safer options although they might not have the same ceiling).
Alessandro Costa

9500

Alden Coria

Somewhat-Safe

-440 

110. 

Costa wins fights when he isn't fighting the top 15 of the division and this is a step back in competition for him. He can be low volume at times, but he has the power to KO almost anyone. He won't score well in a decision, but he has the upside to end this fight early.
Zachary Reese

8900

Sedriques Dumas

Moderate

-250 

-175 

This fight is similar to the Dusko fight where I can't trust either of these guys. Dumas has admitted he is broke, he was arrested again this year which I think puts him in the double digits so who knows how much he is training. Reese is all action until he gasses out, but that is what gives him the huge upside.
Daniil Donchenko

8800

Rodrigo Sezinando

Moderate

-215 

100. 

Donchenko was a finalist on TUF so he has some UFC push behind him. He has good striking, good power, and mixes it up well to the body and head. I like him to get the finish here but he is a very unproven prospect so I can't put him higher.




 

Mid-Range Fighters

Mid-Range

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

Alexander Hernandez

8400

Diego Ferreira

Moderate

-113 

250. 

Hernandez is great when he has physical advantages, and against an aging Diego Ferreira he should be able to have them. It is going to be tough early, but once you break Ferreira he can be finished.
Quang Le

7900

Santiago Luna

Moderate

108 

300. 

Going out on a limb here a little, but I think Le can wrestle and win this fight by making it ugly. Le needs to wrestle to have any chance here, but he is reliable and normally shoots early on so I expect him to do the same here.
Claudio Puelles

8200

Joaquim Silva

Somewhat-Risky

-113 

250. 

Puelles is a submission or bust type of fighter. His striking and wrestling are not good, but if he gets a hold of his opponent he normally ends the round in a good position. He doesn't score great on DK but at $8200 you are banking on him getting the early finish.
Rob Font

8500

David Martinez

Somewhat-Risky

-142 

550. 

Font has a ton of volume, but his durability is starting to go. He should be able to land 100+ significant strikes if this fight goes the distance. He doesn't have much upside but I think he wins the fight.
David Martinez

7700

Rob Font

Somewhat-Risky

112 

450. 

Martinez has power and quick striking, if he lands on Font he could drop him. This is a big step up in competition for him so it could be tough. Any underdog with a better ITD than the favorite always has to be in play.
Montse Rendon

7600

Alice Pereira

Somewhat-Risky

120 

600. 

The mid-range is tough this week with how few fighters are in it, but I think Gustafsson is going to be one of the dogs who gets some ownership. He is reckless in the cage constantly moving forward and his wrestling can score well on DraftKings. He needs to be defensively responsible if he wants to avoid getting KO'd which I don't know if he can do.
Alice Pereira

8600

Montse Rendon

Risky

-158 

330. 

She is the youngest woman in UFC history at only 19 years old and she gets a tough test. Rendon has never finished an opponent so I don't want to pick her so if I am picking anyone in this fight I'll take a shot on the quick striker that the UFC is trying to push.



 

Paydown Fighters

Pay-Downs 

Fighter(s)

Price

Opponent

Risk

Odds

ITD

Rafa Garcia

7100

Jared Gordon

Somewhat-Risky

190 

500. 

Rafa is more powerful than Gordon, but Gordon can push a pace that can break fighters. Rafa has a high ceiling in a finish and at his price any win will help your lineup. I expect him to be able to outmuscle Gordon here.
Jesus Aguilar

7500

Luis Gurule

Somewhat-Risky

172 

380. 

I'm just not a big fan of Gurule. Gurule doesn't throw much volume, and is one dimensional. Gurule has a bad KO loss to Ode Osbourne, and was taken down ten times on the contender series so I'm not going to look to use him this week until he proves himself as an all around fighter..
Dustin Stoltzfus

7200

Kelvin Gastelum

Risky

210 

800. 

This fight is in question with Gastelum missing by 5lbs. I don't know what to think of Gastelum, he is a good boxer but he isn't someone you can trust. Stoltzfus is going to come out and fight hard, if he can push a pace he might be able to gas out Kelvin and get the win.
Sedriques Dumas

7300

Zachary Reese

Risky

190 

300. 

Dumas is low volume, but I don't think Reese let's him be comfortable. Someone here should score well, and while I don't love Dumas, this line is too wide. His kickboxing is OK and if Reese gasses out he could take over late.
Jose Daniel Medina

6900

Dusko Todorovic

Risky

255 

550. 

Medina can grind on someone but he lacks physicality. At his price, and Dusko looking worse every fight out, I'll be taking a chance on him being able to wear down Dusko. This is not a safe play at all but I keep feeling like Dusko's run in the UFC is over.
Amanda Lemos

6800

Tatiana Suarez

Risky

320 

650. 

Lemos is powerful striking but her takedown defense isn't good. On the feet she should be able to piece up Suarez, but she needs to keep it standing. If she gets taken down once, she is probably on the ground for extended amounts of time.
Rodrigo Sezinando

7400

Daniil Donchenko

Risky

164 

330. 

Sezinando wasn't able to get any finishes on TUF, but these matchups are always hit or miss with the levels of competition. He came into TUF with three straight finishes so he still does have some upside. I just think Daniil is better, but these are low level fighters, and a well-rounded fighter like Rodrigo is definitely live in this spot.
Alden Coria

6700

Alessandro Costa

Risky

310 

550. 

Coria is decent and probably one of the better debuting fighters on the card but Costa is a very tough first test in the UFC. In his next UFC fight I'll likely look to pick him but this looks like too much too soon.



 

Sample Lineup

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AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Live Dogs

Lopes, Garcia, Medina, Le

Picks and Stats

   

Diego Lopes

vs

Jean Silva

$7,000

DFS Salary

$9,200

Record: 26-7-0

Record

Record: 16-2-0

10

Knockouts

12

12

Subs

3

+195

Vegas Odds

-235

   

Rob Font

vs

David Martinez

$8,500

DFS Salary

$7,700

Record: 22-8-0

Record

Record: 12-1-0

9

Knockouts

10

4

Subs

0

-142

Vegas Odds

+125

   

Rafa Garcia

vs

Jared Gordon

$7,100

DFS Salary

$9,100

Record: 17-4-0

Record

Record: 21-7-0 (1 NC)

1

Knockouts

8

8

Subs

2

190

Vegas Odds

-250

   

Kelvin Gastelum

vs

Dustin Stoltzfus

$9,000

DFS Salary

$7,200

Record: 20-10-0 (1 NC)

Record

Record: 16-7-0

5

Knockouts

3

5

Subs

6

-280

Vegas Odds

-175

   

Alexander Hernandez

vs

Diego Ferreira

$8,400

DFS Salary

$7,800

Record: 17-8-0

Record

Record: 19-6-0

7

Knockouts

5

2

Subs

7

-113

Vegas Odds

-113

 

0

 

Santiago Luna

vs

Quang Le

$8,300

DFS Salary

$7,900

Record: 6-0-0

Record

Record: 9-2-0

2

Knockouts

2

4

Subs

4

-138

Vegas Odds

108

   

Jose Daniel Medina

vs

Dusko Todorovic

$6,900

DFS Salary

$9,300

Record: 11-5-0

Record

Record: 12-6-0

8

Knockouts

8

2

Subs

3

255

Vegas Odds

-350

   

Claudio Puelles

vs

Joaquim Silva

$8,200

DFS Salary

$8,000

Record: 13-4-0

Record

Record: 13-6-0

2

Knockouts

7

7

Subs

3

-113

Vegas Odds

-113

   

Tatiana Suarez

vs

Amanda Lemos

$9,400

DFS Salary

$6,800

Record: 11-1-0

Record

Record: 15-4-1

2

Knockouts

8

5

Subs

3

-460

Vegas Odds

320

   

Jesus Aguilar

vs

Luis Gurule

$7,500

DFS Salary

$8,700

Record: 11-3-0

Record

Record: 10-1-0

1

Knockouts

5

7

Subs

1

172

Vegas Odds

-225

   

Zachary Reese

vs

Sedriques Dumas

$8,900

DFS Salary

$7,300

Record: 9-2-0

Record

Record: 10-3-0

5

Knockouts

4

2

Subs

2

-250

Vegas Odds

190

   

Alessandro Costa

vs

Alden Coria

$9,500

DFS Salary

$6,700

Record: 14-4-0

Record

Record: 10-3-0 (1 NC)

5

Knockouts

4

6

Subs

4

-440

Vegas Odds

310

   

Montse Rendon

vs

Alice Pereira

$7,600

DFS Salary

$8,600

Record: 6-1-0

Record

Record: 6-0-0

0

Knockouts

4

0

Subs

1

120

Vegas Odds

-158

   

Rodrigo Sezinando

vs

Daniil Donchenko

$7,400

DFS Salary

$8,800

Record: 9-1-0

Record

Record: 12-2-0

4

Knockouts

7

3

Subs

2

164

Vegas Odds

-215

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