The UFC gets its third installment on ABC for an afternoon affair. Nothing wrong with some midday UFC! We’re out of the smaller APEX cage so make sure your finisher has a real chance to win ITD.

Check out all of the latest UFC on ABC 3 odds, stats, predictions, and matchup breakdowns for the entire fight card below. Now let's look at some UFC DFS top picks and plays for Saturday's UFC on ABC 3 event. Good luck in your MMA daily fantasy lineups!

 

 

 

MMA DFS Playbook for UFC on ABC 3

Main Event
Fighter(s)PriceOpponentRiskOddsITD
Brian Ortega vs Yair Rodriguez8500/7700-Stackability: Moderate-165/ +140+140/+330
Both of these fighters never have a disappointing fight. Yair is a dynamic and unorthodox striker with a super tough chin. Ortega is a BJJ wizard that has improved his striking leaps and bounds. Both fighters tend to get hit too much and both have been in recent wars. I see Ortega snatching up a sub sooner or later unless he's knocked unconscious.
      
Expensive
Fighter(s)PriceOpponentRiskOddsITD
Punahele Soriano9200Dalcha LungiambulaSomewhat-Safe-215+120
Puna looks to rebound after losing two tough fights. He's improving for a fairly raw fighter each time, which is encouraging. Plus his power sleeps people if they aren't minding their Ps and Qs.
Su Sumudaerji9100Matt SchnellSomewhat-Safe-265-110
Su looks likely to KO the chinny Schnell here. He'll have to avoid being taken down, though.
Shane Burgos9000Charles JourdainSomewhat-Safe-165+165
Burgos is a warrior who always comes to bang. That gets him in trouble occasionally but his offensive striking is very good. He just lets his hands down too often.
Amanda Lemos9400Michelle Waterson-GomezModerate-295+200
Playing Lemos at this price is a major risk. Yes, she has power for the division but Waterson is super hard to land clean on.
      
Mid-Range
Fighter(s)PriceOpponentRiskOddsITD
Jack Shore8400Ricky SimonModerate-150+250
Shore is a wrestling machine. People hold his Welsch background against him for quality in that department but it's the volume we care about. Simon hasn't been all that defensively sound against other wrestlers.
Emily Ducote8200Jessica PenneSomewhat-Risky-155+250
Ducote is a well-rounded fighter with a lack of name recognition since she's been fighting in Belator. Penne has continued to be a punching bag that's bailed herself out with grappling. I don't think that's enough to stop Ducote.
Dustin Jacoby8300Da-Un JungSomewhat-Risky+100+300
There's a good chance Jacoby just kickboxes Jung from range for 15 minutes. His grappling has improved a good amount and as long as Jung doesn't hang on him for large stretches he'll land volume.
Muslim Salikhov8600Li JingliangSomewhat-Risky-155+240
Salikhov should be able to out-strike Li in this one. He'll have to avoid getting tied up for large stretches, though.
Dwight Grant8900Dustin StoltzfusSomewhat-Risky-105+200
Playing Grant would be hanging your hopes on an early KO. He doesn't do enough to be a DFS play otherwise. His power is freakish, however.
      
Pay-Downs
Fighter(s)PriceOpponentRiskOddsITD
Michelle Waterson-Gomez6800Amanda LemosSomewhat-Risky+245+750
This line is way off. Waterson is a much better bet than this indicates. Maybe her lack of motivation is playing into the odds. She's always in great shape and has only lost to the best. Lemos is not the best. She might even be the worst.
Ricky Simon7800Jack ShoreSomewhat-Risky+130+600
Simon is Shore's toughest test to date and someone that can match and maybe even exceed his pace. We'll see what the Welschman is made of in this fight.
Li Jingliang7600Muslim SalikhovSomewhat-Risky+135+275
The Leech just finds ways to suck up a victory. Salikhov isn't someone with super high output so it's possible he does it here.
Dalcha Lungiambula7000Punahele SorianoRisky+185+300
Dalcha would probably need to land a haymaker to be of much use to us in DFS.
Matt Schnell7100Su SumudaerjiRisky+225+450
Schell COULD out-grapple Su. The question is WILL he do it? He hasn't shown a big commitment to wrestling. It's dangerous to predict one here. The path is there, however.
Charles Jourdain7200Shane BurgosRisky+140+300
Wild brawlers clash and the underdog has to be live. Burgos gets hit too much and Jourdain has some crazy KOs from his regional days.
Da-Un Jung7900Dustin JacobyRisky-120+200
Jung could take a boring control grappling decision in this one. Not all that likely to score well considering the price.

 

MMA DFS Example Lineup for UFC on ABC 3
 


UFC on ABC 3 Live Dogs

Waterson-Gomez, Simon, Rodriguez, Jinglang, Jung, Jourdain, Schnell
 

UFC on ABC 3 Stats & Picks

Brian OrtegavsYair Rodriguez
$8,500DFS Salary$7,700
Record: 15-2-0 (1 NC)RecordRecord: 14-3-0 (1 NC)
3Knockouts4
7Subs3
-165Vegas Odds+140
7/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Michelle Waterson-GomezvsAmanda Lemos
$6,800DFS Salary$9,400
Record: 18-9-0RecordRecord: 11-2-1
3Knockouts7
9Subs2
+245Vegas Odds-295
5/10Lineup Pool3/10
   
Li JingliangvsMuslim Salikhov
$7,600DFS Salary$8,600
Record: 18-7-0RecordRecord: 18-2-0
9Knockouts12
4Subs2
+135Vegas Odds-155
3/10Lineup Pool5/10
   
Matt SchnellvsSu Sumudaerji
$7,100DFS Salary$9,100
Record: 15-6-0 (1 NC)RecordRecord: 16-4-0
2Knockouts13
8Subs1
+225Vegas Odds-265
3/10Lineup Pool5/10
   
Shane BurgosvsCharles Jourdain
$9,000DFS Salary$7,200
Record: 14-3-0RecordRecord: 13-4-1
5Knockouts8
5Subs4
-165Vegas Odds+140
5/10Lineup Pool24/10
 0 
Lauren MurphyvsMiesha Tate
$7,400DFS Salary$8,800
Record: 15-5-0RecordRecord: 19-8-0
8Knockouts4
1Subs7
+165Vegas Odds-195
3/10Lineup Pool5/10
   
Punahele SorianovsDalcha Lungiambula
$9,200DFS Salary$7,000
Record: 8-2-0RecordRecord: 11-4-0
5Knockouts7
2Subs2
-215Vegas Odds+185
4/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Ricky SimonvsJack Shore
$7,800DFS Salary$8,400
Record: 19-3-0RecordRecord: 16-0-0
6Knockouts4
3Subs8
+130Vegas Odds-150
4/10Lineup Pool6/10
   
Bill AlgeovsHerbert Burns
$8,700DFS Salary$7,500
Record: 15-6-0RecordRecord: 11-3-0
3Knockouts1
6Subs8
-200Vegas Odds+170
4/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Dustin JacobyvsDa-Un Jung
$8,300DFS Salary$7,900
Record: 17-5-1RecordRecord: 15-2-1
10Knockouts11
1Subs2
+100Vegas Odds-120
4/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Dwight GrantvsDustin Stoltzfus
$8,900DFS Salary$7,300
Record: 11-5-0RecordRecord: 13-4-0
7Knockouts2
0Subs5
-105Vegas Odds-115
4/10Lineup Pool4/10
   
Jessica PennevsEmily Ducote
$8,000DFS Salary$8,200
Record: 14-6-0RecordRecord: 11-6-0
2Knockouts3
8Subs4
+135Vegas Odds-155
4/10Lineup Pool5/10
   
#N/Avs#N/A
#N/ADFS Salary#N/A
 Record 
0Knockouts0
0Subs0
#N/AVegas Odds#N/A
2/10Lineup Pool6/10


 

 

 

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