Ulberg vs. Reyes Best Bets: UFC Fight Night Predictions, Picks & Odds
Ulberg vs Reyes Betting Odds & Context
- Ulberg is coming in as a strong favorite, with moneyline odds around -265 (i.e. risk $265 to win $100) in many books.
- Reyes is the underdog at about +200 to +215 depending on the sportsbook.
- Prop markets lean toward the fight going over 2.5 rounds (i.e. lasting at least into Round 3) in many analysts' views.
- Some oddsmakers also offer props like Ulberg by KO/TKO or by Round X, etc.
Analytical Previews
- Ulberg has a stronger takedown defense (77%) vs. Reyes's lower mark, but Reyes is more likely to be the one shooting takedowns.
- Reyes has the power and is dangerous - but his recent losses (some by KO) raise questions about durability.
- Some pundits believe Ulberg can use volume, accuracy, and composure to break Reyes over time and get a stoppage in the middle rounds.
Ulberg vs. Reyes Picks & Best Bets
Here’s how I lean — use as guidance, not gospel:
| Bet | Pick / Prediction | Rationale & Risk Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Main bet | Reyes ML +200 | He’s faced the better competition, he has been streaking lately. Has the wrestling upside. |
| Underdog Pick | Charlie Campbell ML +130 | Campbell and Nolan are both chinny and have durability concerns. I don’t want to play Campbell as a favorite but at +130 he is a great play. |
| Prop idea | Thainara by Submission +300 | Thainara is a submission specialist, she doesn’t really hunt for KO’s even if she has her opponent in compromising positions. She is a huge favorite and having a chance to turn her into a long shot using her preferred method of victory is a great play. |
Other Fights & Picks on the Card
Some additional picks that I am leaning towards but not betting at these lines:
- Jack Jenkins over Ramon Taveras - Jenkins’ striking and fight IQ give him an edge.
- Jake Matthews over Neil Magny - Matthews is in better form recently per previews.
How to Bet My Picks on DraftKings
Here’s a step-by-step for placing UFC bets on DraftKings Sportsbook (if available in your state):
- Log into your DraftKings Sportsbook account (or sign up if you don’t have one).
- Navigate to “MMA / UFC” markets under "Sports."
- Find UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs Reyes — open the fight card.
- Select your bet type:
- Moneyline (Ulberg or Reyes)
- Over/Under rounds
- Method / Round props
- Parlays / combos if you want to combine multiple picks
- Enter your stake (how much you want to bet).
- Confirm the bet.
- Monitor the fight. If your selection wins, you collect your payout (minus the vig).
DraftKings Promos/Bonus Offers to Watch for:
- Many sportsbooks run special promos for UFC nights (e.g. boosted odds, risk-free bets, bonus credits) - check the “Promotions” tab inside the app.
- Always read terms (min bets, expiration, eligible markets).