UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan takes place this Saturday live from the Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. The card is headlined by a middleweight showdown between Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan, two ranked contenders looking to strengthen their position in one of the UFC's most competitive divisions.

Allen enters the main event looking to extend his winning streak to four fights, while Duncan brings a five-fight winning streak into the matchup. With both fighters building momentum, Saturday's main event presents an intriguing clash between Allen's grappling-heavy approach and Duncan's dangerous striking.

The event streams live on Paramount+ in the United States, with the prelims beginning at 5:00 PM ET and the main card getting underway at 8:00 PM ET.

Below are my top UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan predictions for Saturday's event.

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan Predictions & Picks

Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan

Pick: Brendan Allen

Allen has a massive cardio and grappling advantage in this matchup against CLD. If someone gets KO’d early, it is probably going to be CLD landing one of his power shots, but if this gets past the second round, Allen should be able to really turn up the pace.  This will be a tight fight, and with both fighters having advantages in different spots, I want to focus on Allen’s best path to victory, which is his submissions and cardio.

  • Prediction: Brendan Allen by submission +310

Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan

Pick: Niko Price

Niko has more experience than almost anyone on the roster, and while fights haven’t been going his way lately, there is a massive step down in competition here, going from a former top 10 in the division, Michael Chiesa, to now facing Leon Shahbazyan. Leon may win this fight in the first round, but after 3-4 minutes he will be gassed. Niko has proven time and time again that over 15 minutes he can land nearly 100 significant strikes, and with that pace eventually he will finish Leon.

  • Prediction: Price ML +120, Price KO +225

Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III

Pick: Andre Fili

Fili has more experience than Kamaka, and while he is aging, he isn’t slowing down. Fili has clear wrestling advantages, and even on the feet, he should be able to hold his own. Kamaka will throw a lot of volume, but if he is fighting off of his back, I don’t see how he gets any offense going. I’m tempted to take the crazy longshot bet on Fili +2000 to win by submission, but I’ll take his moneyline since he could win this by KO or decision as well.

  • Prediction: Andre Fili ML -145

 

 

 

How to Watch UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Fans in the United States can watch the entire event live on Paramount+. The event takes place Saturday, October 10, 2026, at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada.

  • Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
  • Location: Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Prelims: 5:00 PM ET
  • Main Card: 8:00 PM ET
  • Streaming Platform: Paramount+
  • Main Event: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan
  • Co-Main Event: Matheus Camilo vs. Jai Herbert

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan features several interesting matchups, but the main event is the clear standout. Allen's grappling against Duncan's striking should make for an intriguing five-round fight, and I favor Allen to use his ground game to secure the victory.