The 2025 Wuhan Open wraps up with an all-American final between Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff. The two players took completely different paths to get here. Pegula has had to problem-solve every round and Gauff hasn’t been pushed. The price reflects that gap in difficulty more than form.

 

Wuhan Open Final Prediction For Sunday, 10/12

Pegula has battled through four straight three-set matches, capped by a stunning comeback against world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka. Down 2-5 in the final set, she reeled off four straight games, broke serve seven times, and finished the job in a 2-6, 6-4, 7-6(2) win that snapped Sabalenka’s 20-match unbeaten streak in Wuhan.

Her run here includes wins over Hailey Baptiste (6-4, 4-6, 7-6), Ekaterina Alexandrova (7-5, 3-6, 6-3), and Katerina Siniaková (2-6, 6-0, 6-3). She’s been pushed in every round and had to adjust her game each time. 

Gauff’s route was cleaner on the surface. She hasn’t dropped a set this week and has lost just 16 games total. She beat Moyuka Uchijima 6-1, 6-0, Shuai Zhang 6-3, 6-2, Laura Siegemund 6-3, 6-0, and Jasmine Paolini 6-4, 6-3. The numbers look impressive, but the context matters.

Gauff hasn’t faced a top-20 opponent all week. She was broken five times by Paolini and hit seven double faults. It was the second time in three matches she struggled to hold serve for long stretches, but her return game and raw athleticism carried her through.

This final will be the seventh career meeting between Pegula and Gauff. Pegula leads the head-to-head 4-2. 

The matchup dynamic remains the same. Pegula absorbs pace, redirects cleanly off both wings, and exposes Gauff’s rushed forehand takeback and still-inconsistent second serve. If Gauff isn’t serving at a high level, this gets uncomfortable quickly.

 

Wuhan Open Final Best Bet: Jessica Pegula ML (+135)

Coco Gauff is favored at -165 on the moneyline despite playing no one ranked higher than No. 8 this week. Her dominant scores came against players she was expected to beat. Even then, she showed clear volatility on serve, including stretches of five straight double faults.

Jessica Pegula just beat the world No. 1. She has won seven of her last eight three-set matches, all on hard courts, and has now taken down Sabalenka, Siniaková, and Alexandrova. These are power players who each test different parts of your game. She passed all of them.

More importantly, Pegula’s strengths—consistency, neutral ball control, and ability to disguise direction off the baseline—directly challenge Gauff’s weaknesses. She takes time away from Gauff’s movement-based patterns and attacks second serves better than anyone Gauff has faced this week.

You are getting a player with the better head-to-head record, the sharper court IQ, and the tougher road behind her, all at +135. That is value.

 

Wuhan Open Final Free Pick: Over 22.5 games (-110)

Given Pegula’s recent three-set run, the secondary lean here is the over. 

How To Watch The Wuhan Open Final

The Wuhan Open women’s final between Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff will be broadcast live on Tennis Channel and available for streaming via WTA TV.

2025 Wuhan Open Final Odds & Betting Lines Via DraftKings Sportsbook

  • Moneyline: Gauff -165, Pegula +135
  • Game Spread: Gauff -2.5 (-125), Pegula +2.5 (-120)
  • Set Spread: Gauff -1.5 (+150), Pegula +1.5 (-215)
  • Total Games (22.5): Over -110, Under -135
 

Alt Lines:

  • Gauff -3.5: +110
  • Pegula +3.5: -165
  • Pegula -1.5 sets: +300
  • Gauff -1.5 sets: +150

When Is The Wuhan Open Final?

The 2025 Wuhan Open final between Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff is scheduled for:

  • Sunday, October 12, 2025
  • Start time: 6:30 AM Eastern / 3:30 AM Pacific
  • Venue: Dongfeng Voyah Tennis Center, Wuhan, China

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