The 2025 Mutua Madrid Open has set the stage for two compelling finals, each featuring a blend of rising talent and seasoned expertise. With faster clay conditions due to the altitude, both draws have rewarded aggression and timing. 

 

 

 

Men’s Final: Jack Draper vs. Casper Ruud

Jack Draper has demonstrated remarkable adaptability on clay, advancing to his first ATP clay-court final after a straight-sets win over Lorenzo Musetti. This marks Draper’s second ATP Masters final of the year, following his title run at Indian Wells. He’s yet to lose a set in Madrid, with his path including a retirement from Matteo Berrettini in the third round. The Brit’s heavy forehand and aggressive returning have played well at altitude, and he’s shown few signs of discomfort in the conditions.

Casper Ruud, a two-time French Open finalist, has delivered his most efficient tennis of the season this week. He’s come through each match in straight sets, defeating players like Taylor Fritz and Daniil Medvedev with his baseline consistency. Ruud enters the final with a rib issue that surfaced ahead of the semifinals. It wasn’t enough to stop him, but surely something to watch over a best-of-three final where margins will be slim.

This will be the first career meeting between Draper and Ruud.

 

 

 

Women’s Final: Coco Gauff vs. Aryna Sabalenka

Coco Gauff has reached her first WTA 1000 final on clay, highlighted by a stunning 6-1, 6-1 victory over Iga Swiatek in the semifinals. The 20-year-old has looked more confident with her serve and forehand, neutralizing her opponents’ strengths while dictating play from the baseline. With a win, she could jump to World No. 2 and cap off one of the biggest weeks of her career.

Aryna Sabalenka, the world No. 1, returns to a familiar stage, looking for her third Madrid Open crown after winning in 2021 and 2023, and finishing as runner-up in 2024. She’s won all but one of her matches in straight sets this week, overpowering the field with controlled aggression and big-match experience. Sabalenka thrives in faster clay conditions and Madrid’s altitude continues to favor her style.

Coco Gauff holds a 5–4 edge in their head-to-head, including a straight-sets win in their most recent clash at the 2024 WTA Finals. But Madrid’s quicker clay and Sabalenka’s dominant history at this tournament makes this an away game for Gauff.

 

 

 

Mutua Madrid Open Free Pick & Best Bet: Jack Draper -2.5 Games (-120 at DraftKings)

Draper has looked locked in all week. He’s been efficient, dominant behind his serve, and dangerous on return — exactly the combination needed to win in Madrid. Ruud’s form has been solid, but the injury concern heading into the final raises questions about his ability to maintain peak intensity for a full match.

With Draper yet to lose a set and generating pressure early in rallies, this matchup plays into his hands. The -2.5 games spread gives room for a straight-sets win with a margin of at least three games. Backing Draper to cover looks like a smart angle based on how both players have performed this week.

Another angle worth monitoring: Draper to win in straight sets, which should be available near +140 at most sportsbooks.

 

 

 

Mutua Madrid Open Free Pick: Aryna Sabalenka To Win (-125 at DraftKings)

We backed Sabalenka to win this tournament in our Madrid Open preview, and there’s no reason to change that call now. She’s a two-time champion at this event and has looked sharp all week, winning four of her five matches in straight sets. The faster clay suits her aggressive baseline game, and her experience in high-stakes finals could give her the edge over a surging but still relatively young Gauff.

Sabalenka at -125 on the moneyline remains a solid value play for a player who knows how to close in Madrid.

For bettors looking to hedge or take a less outcome-dependent angle, the Over 21.5 Total Games (-125) offers value in what could be a tight, physical final.

 

 

 

How To Watch The Mutua Madrid Open

Fans can watch the finals of the 2025 Mutua Madrid Open live on the Tennis Channel and its streaming platforms. The women’s final between Coco Gauff and Aryna Sabalenka is scheduled for Saturday, while the men’s final featuring Jack Draper and Casper Ruud will take place Sunday.

 

 

 

2025 Mutua Madrid Open Odds & Betting Lines Via DraftKings Sportsbook

Men’s Final:

  • Moneyline: Jack Draper -215, Casper Ruud +160
  • Spread: Draper -2.5 Games (-120), Ruud +2.5 Games (-110)
  • Total Games: Over 22.5 (-125), Under 22.5 (-105)

Women’s Final:

  • Moneyline: Aryna Sabalenka -125, Coco Gauff +100
  • Spread: Sabalenka -1.5 (-110), Gauff +1.5 (-110)
  • Total Games: Over 21.5 (-125), Under 21.5 (-105)

 

 

 

When Is The Mutua Madrid Open?

The 2025 Mutua Madrid Open is held from April 22 to May 5 at La Caja Mágica in Madrid, Spain. The tournament features both ATP and WTA events on outdoor clay courts, serving as a key lead-up to the French Open.

 

 

 

How To Bet On The Mutua Madrid Open at DraftKings Sportsbook & Get $200 In Bonuses

New users can take advantage of DraftKings Sportsbook’s promotional offer during the Mutua Madrid Open. By signing up and placing a qualifying $5 bet on any match, users will receive $200 in bonus bets, regardless of the outcome. 

To claim this offer:

  1. Sign up at DraftKings Sportsbook.
  2. Make a qualifying deposit of $5 or more.
  3. Place a $5+ bet on any Mutua Madrid Open match.
  4. Receive $200 in bonus bets, win or lose.

It’s that easy! And when you create a new account through us, there’s no need for a DraftKings promo code!

 

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