Welcome to another Saturday of English Premier League action and EPL DFS soccer lineups. I can be a stubborn man sometimes, and that can be a problem for EPL DFS. Over the years, I have gotten used to unearthing cheap defenders and midfielders and paying up for attackers in EPL daily fantasy lineups. As more and more teams have gotten away from sending in a ton of crosses, especially with their defenders, our EPL DFS strategy has had to evolve. For Saturday’s DFS soccer slate, I found myself gravitating to high-upside strikers who I thought were too cheap for their matchups. That strategy can be risky but, even in cash games, I think we just have to go where the value takes us. If only it hadn’t taken me until nearly the end of the season to learn that lesson. Let's now get into the EPL DFS picks and top DFS soccer plays on DraftKings and FanDuel for Saturday, May 20th.
EPL DFS Soccer Picks May 20
EPL DFS Top Goalkeepers
Player
Team
Opp.
DK $
DK FPPG
FD $
FD FPPG
Bernd Leno
FUL
CRY
5100
9.12
10
13.90
I love his price on FanDuel, and he is playable on DraftKings. No team has been shut out more than Crystal Palace this season, and only four teams have scored fewer goals per game. Fulham isn't a great defensive team but I don't mind chasing a win and a clean sheet, especially with Fulham at home.
David de Gea
MUN
BOU
5500
8.53
12
13.44
Manchester United will feel they need to win this game to stay one point ahead of Liverpool for a top-four finish. Bournemouth has been shut out in 44.4 percent of its games, tied with Crystal Palace. No team has more clean sheets than Manchester United and only two have allowed fewer goals.
Neto
BOU
MUN
4000
7.55
8
12.15
Manchester United is first in the league in saves allowed but eighth in goals scored. I'm obviously not looking for a win or a clean sheet but a handful of saves without allowing too many goals would be just fine at this price.
EPL DFS Top Forwards
Player
Team
Opp.
DK $
DK FPPG
FD $
FD FPPG
Aleksandar Mitrovic
FUL
CRY
6000
13.1
20
20.24
Mitrovic scored off the bench against Southampton in his first game in over two months and somehow his price decreased. Mitrovic is eighth in the league in goals per 90 minutes and none of the players ahead of him are expected to play Saturday. We are getting an awfully good price to chase a goal.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
EVE
WOL
5200
4.9
16
9.07
Calvert-Lewin was quiet against Manchester City but he had a goal, an assist, six shots, and four chances created in his two previous games. I think we are getting a good player finally rounding into form at a cheap price. Calvert-Lewin is always in play for tournaments but he's playable in cash games at this price.
Ollie Watkins
AVL
LIV
6700
10.8
18
18.53
I usually don't have so many strikers in my DFS lineups, especially on DraftKings. But we are getting another underpriced forward with a matchup I like. I think Liverpool's defense is vulnerable on the left side with Trent Alexander-Arnold moving into the midfield in possession, they just haven't played many teams good enough to take advantage. Aston Villa absolutely can take advantage, and I love Watkins' chances of breaking his five-game goalless streak.
EPL DFS Top Midfielders
Player
Team
Opp.
DK $
DK FPPG
FD $
FD FPPG
Matheus Nunes
WOL
EVE
4300
6.26
11
9.18
I think whoever starts on the right side is going to have success attacking Dwight McNeil, especially with Everton expected to play a back three due to their fullback injuries. Nunes is the safest of the possible Wolverhampton midfielders, with three crosses in each of his last two games. He is also cheaper than the other potential starters, though Hwang Hee-Chan, Matheus Cunha, and Daniel Podence all have forward eligibility.
Bruno Fernandes
MUN
BOU
9300
14.92
23
23.28
His floor and the matchup are second-to-none. You can play Salah or an Arsenal attacker if you want to chase multiple-goal involvements but I'll gladly bank my double-digit fantasy points. And with at least 31.9 FD fantasy points in four of his last seven games, it's not like his ceiling is bad, either.
Martin Odegaard
ARS
NFO
21
20.79
I actually don't hate fading Arsenal's attackers. They will probably score a goal or two, but all four have been inconsistent down the stretch, and Nottingham Forest has been much tougher at home. That being said, Odegaard has goals in four of his last six games and he has two chances created in three straight games. If there is an Arsenal attacker to take a chance on, he is it.
Alex Iwobi
EVE
WOL
6100
8.6
15
13.34
I expect Iwobi and Dwight McNeil to essentially play wing-back, and while they will probably both be fine, I think Iwobi is better suited to getting back defensively while still contributing to the attack. He is safer than the other forwards in this price range and he has more upside than comparable midfielders.
Eberechi Eze
CRY
FUL
9500
10.9
19
14.81
Much like Martin Odegaard, Eze is not as consistent as I would like but the big fantasy totals come often enough that I can excuse the occasional no-show. I like Eze on both sites but I think he stands out more on DraftKings.
EPL DFS Top Defenders
Player
Team
Opp.
DK $
DK FPPG
FD $
FD FPPG
Maximilian Kilman
WOL
EVE
3300
3.22
11
11.23
Kilman has double-digit FD fantasy points in five of his last seven games. I think Everton is going to send in even more crosses in their 3-4-2-1, which should lead to more clearances for Kilman.
Tyrone Mings
AVL
LIV
3100
4.2
11
12.32
Liverpool has allowed 122 more clearances than any other team this season. Mings has 30 more clearances than any other Aston Villa defender. With no notable center-back injuries, it looks like we'll have to pay up a bit for defenders on FanDuel, barring some surprise starters.
Hugo Bueno
WOL
EVE
4800
5.18
8
7.59
The only thing keeping his price down is that he doesn't always start. That being said, he has at least four crosses in three consecutive starts and if he starts Saturday, he will be in my DK lineups.
Trent Alexander-Arnold
LIV
AVL
7900
12.78
15
15.15
I worried a bit that moving inside would hurt Alexander-Arnold's fantasy production, but while his crossing numbers aren't quite so prolific, he is making up for it by taking shots and creating chances. There are enough cheap options at the other positions to make Alexander-Arnold playable on both sites.
Alex Moreno
AVL
LIV
4400
7.48
10
11.18
This probably isn't a great matchup, but I think this price is an overreaction. I think Moreno will have plenty of opportunities to get forward along the left side, and if Aston Villa is as successful on that side as I predict, there is a great chance Moreno is involved
EPL DFS Soccer Core Plays May 20
DraftKings Core Plays
Top Tier
Bruno Fernandes
$9,300
Eberechi Eze
$9,500
Mid Tier
Aleksandar Mitrovic
$6,000
Ollie Watkins
$6,700
Value Tier
Matheus Nunes
$4,300
Alex Moreno
$4,400
FanDuel Core Plays
Top Tier
Martin Odegaard
$21
Bruno Fernandes
$23
Mid Tier
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
$16
Trent Alexander-Arnold
$15
Value Tier
Tyrone Mings
$11
Matheus Nunes
$11
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