EPL DFS Playbook February 18: Top DraftKings and FanDuel DFS Picks
We have a giant EPL DFS slate Saturday, with 14 teams in action. The most interesting part of the slate is that you find nits to pick about just about all of the high-priced players or teams. Manchester City is playing its third game in seven days. Newcastle, Liverpool and Chelsea each have just one win in their last five games. Those last two are behind Brighton, Fulham and Brentford in the standings, but its hard to trust those teams, especially when Brighton hosts Fulham Saturday. This feels like a good slate to load up on mid-priced guys and hope you nail a few that provide attacking returns.
EPL DFS Top Plays February 18
| Goalkeepers | ||||||
| Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
| Keylor Navas | NFO | MCI | 3600 | 8.41 | 7 | 13.50 |
| I will readily admit that this may be getting too cute. That being said, City is playing its third game in seven days and they had just one change from Sunday to Wednesday. Navas could face a Manchester City squad this is tired or features bench players. City could also suffer a letdown after defeating Arsenal to move to the top of the table. Most importantly, Nottingham Forest is undefeated at home with four clean sheets since September 16th. | ||||||
| Nick Pope | NEW | LIV | 11 | 14.52 | ||
| I really thought he would cost more. Newcastle has allowed eight fewer goals and recorded three more clean sheets than any other team in the league. Liverpool is 2-2-6 with 11 goals scored on the road. No team has allowed more saves than Liverpool this season. Four of Liverpool's five clean sheets against have come on the road, including each of their last two games. | ||||||
| Kepa Arrizabalaga | CHE | SOU | 5800 | 10.38 | 14 | 15.57 |
| You can Pivot to Jose Sa if you need to save a buck but Chelsea has allowed nine fewer goals than Wolves and Southampton has scored two fewer goals than Bournemouth. If I'm paying up for a win and a clean sheet, I'm targeting Kepa. | ||||||
| David Raya | BRE | CRY | 5300 | 10.38 | 12 | 16.11 |
| If you don't want to tempt your fate against Liverpool or Manchester City, Raya offers a reasonable price and a very nice matchup. Only two teams have been shut out more than Crystal Palace. Palace has just five goals over its last nine games, with five clean sheets against in that span. | ||||||
| Jordan Pickford | EVE | LEE | 4900 | 6.79 | 10 | 10.62 |
| I don't really trust Leeds to score with Rodrigo out and I do trust Everton's defense under Sean Dyche. Leeds has been shut out in three of its last four games. | ||||||
| Forwards | ||||||
| Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
| Alex Iwobi | EVE | LEE | 5700 | 7.94 | 15 | 12.96 |
| The obvious analysis is to play Dwight McNeil now that he is reunited with his former coach, and I certainly don't mind that, especially on FanDuel. That being said, Iwobi has 12 crosses and five chances created in two games under Sean Dyche and he is $1,100 cheaper than McNeil on DraftKings. | ||||||
| Wilfried Gnonto | LEE | EVE | 7600 | 9.9 | 16 | 12.88 |
| Gnonto is safer than Jack Harrison and he plays a more scarce position. Gnonto has at least 8.6 DK fantasy points in five straight games, averaging 12.3 fantasy points in that span. Sean Dyche teams always allow a ton of crosses and that should bode well for both Gnonto and Harrison. | ||||||
| Joao Felix | CHE | SOU | 9200 | 20.35 | 21 | 28.95 |
| Even with such a great matchup, Felix is the only Chelsea player I trust, especially if Raheem Sterling starts on the bench. He has been great since joining Chelsea and I see no reason to believe Saturday will be any different. | ||||||
| Ivan Toney | BRE | CRY | 8700 | 15.53 | 21 | 24.21 |
| Toney has four goals in six games since the break, and he is as good a bet to score as anyone. He is a better GPP play but I trust him as much as I trust any striker. | ||||||
| Midfielders | ||||||
| Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
| Jack Grealish | MCI | NFO | 7900 | 10.86 | 18 | 12.64 |
| Grealish has at least 8.7 DK fantasy points in 11 consecutive games. His strong play of late hasn't entirely translated for fantasy but as far as reasonably-priced Manchester City attackers go, Grealish is probably the best. | ||||||
| Pablo Sarabia | WOL | BOU | 5600 | 4.43 | 13 | 1.87 |
| I promise I will stop touting him if he fails to deliver against Bournemouth. He disappointed against Southampton in part because Wolverhampton only had two corners in that game, one of which went to Neves. Bournemouth is allowing 6.73 corners and 25.2 crosses per game, both of which top the league. This is a reasonably-priced way to get exposure to a terrible Bournemouth defense. | ||||||
| Kevin De Bruyne | MCI | NFO | 9300 | 18.21 | 22 | 22.10 |
| De Bruyne is back to being the safest fantasy play in the league, especially on DraftKings. There is plenty of upside to chase on the slate, especially at forward, but I will gladly pay up for De Bruyne's floor. | ||||||
| Hamed Traore | BOU | WOL | 5200 | 10.04 | 12 | 10.75 |
| Traore is averaging 2.94 chances created and 8.82 crosses per 90 minutes since joining Bournemouth. I don't know how long that will continue but I'm willing to find out at his price. He looks like a great play on both sites. | ||||||
| Defenders | ||||||
| Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
| Sven Botman | NEW | LIV | 11 | 12.23 | ||
| All of the Newcastle center backs are in play against a Liverpool squad that is allowing 5.2 more clearances per game than any other team in the league. Schar has a higher ceiling and Burn is $1 cheaper but Botman has at least 15 FD fantasy points in six of his last seven games. I love the stack with Nick Pope. | ||||||
| Felipe | NFO | MCI | 3400 | 5.04 | 10 | 13.00 |
| City has allowed the second-most clearances in the league, and Felipe had five clearances to go with five interceptions in his Premier League debut against Fulham last week. You don't have to stack him with Keylor Navas but I certainly don't hate that idea. | ||||||
| Thiago Silva | CHE | SOU | 3600 | 5.68 | 12 | 14.16 |
| You can pivot to Benoit Badiashile, especially if Silva sits, but I like the value on Salva if he plays. Silva has 21 clearances in his four games since Badiashile joined the lineup, averaging 18.4 FD fantasy points in that span. Only Liverpool has allowed more clearances per game than Southampton this season. | ||||||
| Vitaliy Mykolenko | EVE | LEE | 4200 | 4.84 | 10 | 11.71 |
| Mykolenko hasn't exactly broken out under new manager Sean Dyche, but that could be due to two tough matchups. Everton should have more opportunities to get forward against Leeds, which puts both Mykolenko and Seamus Coleman in play. This isn't exactly a safe pick, but Mykolenko could provide nice value and he will allow you to pay up elsewhere. | ||||||
| Rico Henry | BRE | CRY | 4600 | 6.53 | 10 | 10.50 |
| Henry struggled against Arsenal last week, but that isn't unusual. He had nine crosses and four chances created in his three games before that, and only three teams have allowed more crosses than Crystal Palace this season. In an ugly slate for defenders on DK, Henry stands out. | ||||||
| Player | Team | Opp. | DK $ | DK FPPG | FD $ | FD FPPG |
| Kenny Tete | FUL | BHA | 5100 | 9.06 | 13 | 16.38 |
| I don't love the matchup, but I'm not sure how much the matchup matters. Tete has 18 crosses and four chances created in his last three games. | ||||||
| Draftkings Core Plays | ||
| Top Tier | Joao Felix | $9,200 |
| Kevin De Bruyne | $9,300 | |
| Mid Tier | Hamed Traore | $5,200 |
| Pablo Sarabia | $5,600 | |
| Value Tier | Vitaliy Mykolenko | $4,200 |
| Fanduel Core Plays | ||
| Top Tier | Joao Felix | $21 |
| Ivan Toney | $21 | |
| Mid Tier | Jack Grealish | $18 |
| Alex Iwobi | $15 | |
| Value Tier | Hamed Traore | $12 |
| Nick Pope | $11 | |
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