Saturday’s EPL DFS is as interesting as any we have had in a while, especially on FanDuel. We get five games on that site, including second-place Manchester City traveling to Bournemouth, one point above the relegation zone. First-place Arsenal is also on the road, facing Leicester. On the opposite end of the table, the bottom five teams are all in action. This slate also features the six teams that have allowed the most goals this season. I anticipate a high-scoring slate, making this an excellent time to find a cheap goalkeeper. Of course, if you can find the lone keeper to keep a clean sheet as we did two weeks ago with Bernd Leno, you could gain a big advantage in your contests.
EPL DFS Top Plays February 24
Goalkeepers
Player
Team
Opp.
DK $
DK FPPG
FD $
FD FPPG
Ederson
MCI
BOU
14
9.63
For all the talk of Ederson's play falling off this season, only Newcastle has allowed fewer goals per game and only three teams have kept more clean sheets. Bournemouth has been shut out in five of its 11 home games, and if you're going to chase a win and a clean sheet, you may as well go big.
Lukasz Fabianski
WHU
NFO
5400
5.98
12
9.07
The bad news is that Fabianski has just four clean sheets all season. The good news is that West Ham won all four of those games. This is yet another bet against Nottingham Forest on the road, where they are 1-3-7 with just three goals scored.
Jordan Pickford
EVE
AVL
4900
6.96
10
10.91
Everton has two 1-0 wins in its three games under Sean Dyche. Aston Villa has five goals scored over their last three games but lost all three. Something's got to give, but Aston Villa's offense isn't so prolific that I think Everton can't shut them down. It also helps that Everton is at home.
Forwards
Player
Team
Opp.
DK $
DK FPPG
FD $
FD FPPG
Jack Grealish
MCI
BOU
18
13.16
I would obviously like this call better if Kevin De Bruyne is out of the matchday squad altogether, but so long as De Bruyne doesn't start, I think Grealish is the best bet to step up. In the two games Grealish started without De Bruyne in the starting lineup, Grelish had five chances created. He also created five chances his last time out at Nottingham Forest. You can pivot to Ilkay Gundogan or Bernardo Silva if you need to save money but Grealish looks like one of the safest Manchester City plays Saturday.
Dwight McNeil
EVE
AVL
7400
7.8
13
8.69
McNeil has 31 crosses and seven chances created since being reuinted with Sean Dyche. You can pivot to Alex Iwobi if you want but I think McNeil is safer than Iwobi on DraftKings and I think he is a better value on FanDuel.
Wilfried Gnonto
LEE
SOU
7600
9.28
16
12.13
Only two teams have allowed more goals than Southampton this season. Gnonto has at least three crosses in four straight games, with four shots and seven chances created in that span. Gnonto isn't quite as safe as Jack Harrison but Gnonto is forward-eligible and more likely to provide an attacking return.
Leandro Trossard
ARS
LEI
8000
11.33
17
16.10
I think the correct approach to Arsenal's attack is to try to pay up for Bukayo Saka and pivot to one of the other two attackers if you need to or if you want to double up. There probably isn't a wrong answer among Eddie Nketiah, Gabriel Martinelli and Leandro Trossard, but Trossard is the cheapest on FanDuel and I think he might be the safest of those three on DraftKings. Trossard had five crosses and a chance created at Aston Villa last week and scored off the bench the week before that against Brentford.
Kelechi Iheanacho
LEI
ARS
7800
5.75
14
9.41
This is obviously a really tough matchup, but Iheanacho has scored goals in three of his four starts this season. I don't mind chasing another goal Saturday, especially on FanDuel.
Player
Team
Opp.
DK $
DK FPPG
FD $
FD FPPG
Danny Ings
WHU
NFO
6300
5.74
16
10.17
Ings is a proven striker who is allegedly healthy now after picking up an injury in his first game with West Ham. No team has allowed more fantasy points to forwards than Nottingham Forest, and we are getting a good price to chase a goal.
Midfielders
Player
Team
Opp.
DK $
DK FPPG
FD $
FD FPPG
Kamaldeen Sulemana
SOU
LEE
5700
5.79
12
7.20
Only three teams have allowed more goals than Leeds this season. I wouldn't blame you for not trusting any Southampton players outside of James Ward-Prowse but Sulemana has three crosses, three chances created and eight shots through three games. If anyone else on this team is going to have a breakthrough, I like his chances.
Bukayo Saka
ARS
LEI
9700
17.11
21
22.23
Only Bournemouth has allowed more goals than Leicester, and Saka has at least 20 fantasy points in five straight games on FanDuel and four of his last five on DraftKings. He is easily the safest player on the DK slate and could be on FD as well if Kevin De Bruyne is unable to start.
Alex Iwobi
EVE
AVL
6500
8.44
15
13.49
I didn't really want to put both Iwobi and Dwight McNeil on this list but at the end of the day I needed their savings too much on their respective sites. There isn't really anyone else in the $6000-$7000 range that I trust so unless you are going to avoid that price range altogether and perhaps play a defender at UTIL, I think you might need Iwobi. There is no denying he is playing well for Sean Dyche, and I don't see what that would end now.
James Ward-Prowse
SOU
LEE
8300
14.23
17
18.62
As I said, safe midfielders are hard to find, and while I would gladly fade Ward-Prowse on another slate, I can't ignore this matchup.
Defenders
Player
Team
Opp.
DK $
DK FPPG
FD $
FD FPPG
Victor Kristiansen
LEI
ARS
4500
8.58
11
13.97
Kristiansen has at least 8.2 DK fantasy points in all three games for Leicester. This clearly isn't a good matchup but considering he has already produced against Tottenham and Manchester United, I'm not too worried about him returning value.
Ben White
ARS
LEI
3900
6.15
9
9.72
He is awfully cheap for someone with 12 crosses and three chances created in his last two starts. Zinchenko is more likely to provide an attacking return but I think White's floor is just as high at a fraction of the cost.
Jack Stephens
BOU
MCI
3000
1.85
10
9.48
In four starts this season, Jack Stephens is averaging 17.0 FD fantasy points. He leads Bournemouth with 6.25 clearances per 90 minutes, and only Liverpool has allowed more clearances to opponents than Manchester City this season. He is a must-play on FanDuel.
Felipe
NFO
WHU
3800
5.63
13
16.90
Felipe has been great through two games with Nottingham Forest and now he faces the team that has allowed the third-most clearances this season. You can pivot to Joe Worrall if you need to but Felipe is certainly safer.
Matty Cash
AVL
EVE
4400
4.84
9
7.30
Everton has allowed at least 16 crosses in three straight games under Sean Dyche. Cash has seven crosses and one assist in his two starts this year.
EPL DFS Core Plays
Draftkings Core Plays
Top Tier
Bukayo Saka
$9,700
James Ward-Prowse
$8,300
Mid Tier
Wilfried Gnonto
$7,600
Alex Iwobi
$6,500
Value Tier
Ben White
$3,900
Victor Kristiansen
$4,500
Fanduel Core Plays
Top Tier
Jack Grealish
$18
Bukayo Saka
$21
Mid Tier
Wilfried Gnonto
$16
Kelechi Iheanacho
$14
Value Tier
Dwight McNeil
$13
Jack Stephens
$10
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