The NHL slate for Monday, November 17, 2025, features several intriguing matchups, with a couple of Underdog picks for tonight’s slate. We’re all over shots again because the numbers are screaming value on two absolute volume monsters. I’m pounding “Higher” on both of these and bringing the projections with me. Let’s cash.

Underdog NHL Free Picks for Monday, 11/17: Hockey Projections + More

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Zach Werenski Underdog NHL Pick: Higher than 3.5 Shots on Goal

Zach Werenski shoots like a forward and faces a vulnerable Montreal team at home. He averages 3.61 shots per game this year with 9 overs in 18 contests. He logs 25 to 30 minutes nightly and runs the top power play unit. His last ten games include six overs, with 5 shots in each of his last two home games. Montreal allows plenty of shots on the road. Projections give Werenski a 58% chance at 4+ shots. Take Higher 3.5 on Underdog.

 

 

 

TageThompson Underdog NHL Pick: Higher than 3.5 Shots on Goal

Tage Thompson is one of the NHL's top volume shooters, and this home game against Edmonton is ideal for him to clear 3.5 shots. He averages 4.6 shots per game this season, hitting the over in 12 of 18 games (67%). At home, he climbs to 4.8 shots while playing 18 to 20 minutes with heavy power play time. Recent form shows seven overs in his last ten games, including 5+ shots in each of the last two. Edmonton allows more shots on the road. Models give Thompson a 62% chance at 4+ shots tonight. Lock in Higher 3.5 on Underdog.

 

 

 

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