The NFL season has reached its pinnacle as we enter Super Bowl LX on Sunday. Fantasy managers and Underdog users are looking for every advantage to secure a win in this ultimate showdown. This matchup features the improbable New England Patriots clashing with the defensive powerhouse Seattle Seahawks, creating massive value for player projections given the injury news and schematic mismatches. We have identified two NFL expert picks that stand out based on recent volume, DVOA data, and favorable game scripts.

 

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Kenneth Walker Underdog NFL Pick: Lower than 74.5 Rushing Yards

This number feels inflated for a running back facing one of the league's premier run-stopping units. While Kenneth Walker is the engine of the Seahawks' backfield, the Patriots' defense, anchored by marquee interior lineman Milton Williams, demands a shift in offensive philosophy. According to the latest data, New England has stifled opposing ground games throughout the playoffs, often forcing teams to abandon the run early.

Seattle's path to victory likely lies through the air, attacking the perimeter rather than running directly into the teeth of the Patriots' front. With New England's defensive line fully healthy and creating havoc in the trenches, running lanes will be scarce. Unless Walker breaks a massive 50-yard run early, grinding out 75 yards against this disciplined group is a tall order. We expect Seattle to lean on Sam Darnold's arm and their new-look receiving corps to move the chains.

 

Drake Maye Underdog NFL Pick: Lower than 245.5 Passing Yards

While Drake Maye has posted MVP-caliber numbers during his spectacular sophomore campaign, the matchup on Super Bowl Sunday demands a fade on his total yardage. The Seahawks boast the NFL's #1 ranked defense in DVOA and passing yards allowed, a unit designed by Mike Macdonald specifically to confuse young quarterbacks. The mismatch between New England's offensive line and Seattle's pass rush is concerning; Maye has already been sacked 15 times in this postseason run alone.

More importantly for this prop, the Seahawks' disguised coverages and "simulated pressures" often force quarterbacks to check the ball down rather than pushing it vertically. With the pressure likely arriving instantly, Maye will be forced into a dink-and-dunk game plan involving Rhamondre Stevenson, Hunter Henry and Stefon Diggs on short routes. Volume might be there, but efficiency and big plays will be hard to come by. Expect the Seahawks to keep everything in front of them and limit Maye's explosive yardage.

 

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