Searching for the best Underdog NFL picks today? Week 8's Sunday slate features the highest-total game on the board in Dallas and a Patriots rookie tight end in a favorable matchup against Miami. Below, we highlight our top Underdog NFL picks for this Week 8 slate, along with the player projections and matchup breakdowns behind each selection.
Cardinals vs. Cowboys and Patriots vs. Dolphins: Game Outlook & Key Matchups
Jacoby Brissett and the Cardinals visit a Cowboys defense that is tied for the most yards allowed in the league and ranks 30th in pass defense DVOA, in a game with a 54.5-point total, while Eli Raridon and the Patriots face a Dolphins defense that ranks 30th in DVOA against tight ends. Both players have favorable setups. These are the Underdog plays we're targeting for this slate.
Best Underdog NFL Picks for Sunday, Week 8
Jacoby Brissett NFL Underdog Pick: Higher 37.5 Pass Attempts
Brissett has attempted 282 passes through seven starts, an average of 40.3 per game, and he has thrown at least 40 times in 10 of his 19 starts as Arizona's quarterback, including 52 attempts against San Francisco and 48 in last week's loss to Denver. The Cardinals are underdogs of about a touchdown at Dallas in a game with a 54.5-point total, and a Cowboys defense that ranks 30th in pass defense DVOA and has allowed 7.7 yards per attempt and a 68.2% completion rate, combined with an Arizona pass defense that ranks last in DVOA, should keep the Cardinals in catch-up mode. With his efficiency at just 5.7 yards per attempt, Brissett needs volume to produce, and LaFleur has said he is still the starter. Clearing 37.5 pass attempts looks like the right side.
Eli Raridon NFL Underdog Pick: Higher 25.5 Receiving Yards
Raridon has settled in as New England's TE2, with 12 catches for 168 yards and two touchdowns on 16 targets through six games, and he has gone for 57 yards and 56 yards in two of his last three games played. The Patriots use plenty of two-tight-end looks, and the Dolphins have allowed the fifth-most receptions and fourth-most receiving yards per game to tight ends this season while ranking 30th in DVOA against the position. Henry will still lead the position, so Raridon's role is a bit volatile, but he has not dropped a pass this season and ranks first among rookie tight ends in first-down receptions with nine. Clearing 25.5 receiving yards looks like a reasonable ask.
Underdog NFL Player Projections for Week 8 Sunday
Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Brissett and Raridon as our top plays for Sunday, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Underdog pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.
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