Searching for the best Underdog NFL picks today for Week 3's Sunday Night Football finale? Both the Rams and Broncos come in at 1-1, and this one is shaping up as a clash of styles between a high-powered Rams passing game and a Broncos team looking to control the clock on the ground. Below, we highlight our top Underdog NFL picks for this matchup, along with the player projections and matchup breakdowns behind each selection.

 

Rams vs. Broncos: Game Outlook & Key Matchups

Denver enters this game banged up in the backfield but got good news this week, with both J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey clearing the injury report, while rookie Jonah Coleman was ruled out. On the other side, Matthew Stafford and the Rams will be without top receiver Puka Nacua, who's been officially ruled out with a hip injury heading into Sunday night. These are the Underdog plays we're targeting for this matchup.

Best Underdog NFL Picks for SNF, Week 3

JK Dobbins NFL Underdog Pick: Higher 12.5 Rushing Attempts

Dobbins has carried the ball 18 times through Denver's first two games, and that workload should only grow this week with rookie Jonah Coleman ruled out after playing a real complementary role in Week 2. He was a full practice participant all week and carries no injury designation into Sunday night, clearing the path for a bigger workload. Denver has even pointed to how the Rams lean on Kyren Williams and Blake Corum, who have combined for 45 carries this season, as a model for controlling the clock in this game. With Coleman sidelined and the coaching staff looking to establish the run, clearing 12.5 carries looks very attainable for Dobbins.

Matthew Stafford NFL Underdog Pick: Lower 235.5 Passing Yards

Stafford has been excellent to open the year, throwing for 482 yards and four scores across his first two games, but Puka Nacua has been officially ruled out with a hip injury for Sunday night, taking away Stafford's top target for the second time this season. Denver's defense has been one of the better pass units early on, allowing just 172.5 yards per game and not yet permitting a single 300-yard passer. Without Nacua to complement Davante Adams, and against a defense that's controlled the passing game about as well as anyone, Stafford's ceiling looks capped compared to his Week 2 explosion. Staying under 235.5 passing yards against this level of a Denver secondary looks like the right side.

Underdog NFL Player Projections for Rams vs. Broncos

Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Dobbins and Stafford as our top plays for this game, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Underdog pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.

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