Searching for the best Underdog NFL picks today for Week 2's Sunday Night Football finale? The Colts and Chiefs both had big performances from their lead backs in Week 1, and this AFC showdown at Arrowhead is loaded with storylines on both sides. Below, we highlight our top Underdog NFL picks for this matchup, along with the player projections and matchup breakdowns behind each selection.

 

Colts vs. Chiefs: Game Outlook & Key Matchups

Jonathan Taylor and Kenneth Walker both looked like the best backs on the field in Week 1, and Patrick Mahomes proved he's fully back to his mobile self in his return from a torn ACL and LCL. Indianapolis is coming off a shootout loss to the Ravens while Kansas City rolled Denver behind a dominant ground attack. These are the Underdog plays we're targeting for this matchup.

 

 

 

Best Underdog NFL Picks for SNF, Week 2

Jonathan Taylor NFL Underdog Pick: Anytime TD

Taylor enters this game as the NFL's reigning leader in both rushing attempts (323) and rushing touchdowns (18) from a season ago, and he picked up right where he left off in Week 1 with 98 yards and two scores on just 19 carries against Baltimore. His first touchdown of the year came on Indianapolis' opening drive, a clear sign the Colts still view him as their primary weapon near the goal line. Kansas City's defense showed real improvement against the run in Week 1, but that came against a Denver offense that struggled to move the ball on both sides of the ball. Taylor's workload and role haven't changed, and a back who led the league in touchdowns last season finding the end zone again here is a very reasonable expectation.

Patrick Mahomes NFL Underdog Pick: Higher 18.5 Rushing Yards

Mahomes made it clear in Week 1 that his surgically repaired knee isn't holding him back, scrambling for a 15-yard touchdown on Kansas City's opening drive that tied for the longest rushing score of his career. He finished with seven carries for 23 yards in that game, and this week's matchup sets up even better for him to use his legs. Indianapolis had zero answers for Baltimore's offense in Week 1, allowing 202 rushing yards and averaging over 8.0 yards per play against a defense that had nine quarterback hits but couldn't finish plays. With a front that struggled to wrap up all game, Mahomes should have plenty of room to scramble if things break down, just like he showed he's fully capable of doing in his season debut. Clearing 18.5 rushing yards looks very attainable.

 

 

 

Underdog NFL Player Projections for Colts vs. Chiefs

Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Taylor and Mahomes as our top plays for this game, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift.

Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Underdog pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.

 

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