Searching for the best Underdog NFL picks today to close out Week 2? The Giants come in red-hot off a statement win over Dallas, while the Rams look to bounce back from an ugly blowout loss to the 49ers in Australia. Below, we highlight our top Underdog NFL picks for this Week 2 finale, along with the player projections and matchup breakdowns behind each selection.

Giants vs. Rams: Game Outlook & Key Matchups

Jaxson Dart made history in his Week 1 start, while Matthew Stafford was actually pulled from the Rams' loss to San Francisco with the game well out of hand. Los Angeles is a 6.5-point home favorite with the total sitting at 47.5, and both teams have real motivation here: New York to prove Week 1 wasn't a fluke and Los Angeles to erase the memory of its worst offensive showing in years. These are the Underdog plays we're targeting for this one.

 

 

 

Best Underdog NFL Picks for MNF, Week 2

Darnell Mooney NFL Underdog Pick: Higher 15.5 Receiving Yards

Mooney only saw two targets in the Week 1 win over Dallas, but he made the most of his limited opportunities, converting a 9-yard middle throw for a first down and showing good field awareness in the process. He's settled into a possession role in the slot with a shallow average depth of target behind Malik Nabers, who profiles as Dart's clear first read most weeks. With Nabers commanding extra coverage attention and the Giants boasting a run-heavy identity that should open up manageable throws underneath, Mooney doesn't need a huge target share to still produce a modest yardage total. A receiver who's shown he can be efficient even in a complementary role, clearing 15.5 yards is still a reasonable bar.

Matthew Stafford NFL Underdog Pick: Higher 32.5 Pass Attempts

Stafford only finished with 25 pass attempts in Week 1, but that number was capped artificially low after Sean McVay pulled him for Stetson Bennett once the game got out of hand against San Francisco. Back home against a Giants defense that hasn't faced an offense like this yet, and with the entire operation looking to prove last week was an aberration, there's every reason to expect a full workload for the veteran quarterback in a game the Rams are favored to control. Los Angeles is also currently a 6.5-point favorite with a 47.5 total, numbers that point toward a game script where Stafford stays on the field throwing the ball deep into the fourth quarter. Clearing 32.5 attempts in a get-right spot at home looks very likely.

Underdog NFL Player Projections for Giants vs. Rams

Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Mooney and Stafford as our top plays for this game, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Underdog pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.

 

 

 

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