As we gear up for the Monday Night Football clash between the Washington Commanders and Kansas City Chiefs on October 27, 2025, Underdog fantasy players have a prime opportunity to capitalize on two compelling player projections: Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns and Marcus Mariota Under 198.5 Passing Yards. Here’s why these selections stand out based on recent performances, matchups, and projections.

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Patrick Mahomes Monday Night Football Underdog NFL Pick: Higher than 2.5 Passing Touchdowns

Mahomes is heating up at the right time, having thrown three passing touchdowns in each of his last two games (against the Raiders on October 19 and Detroit on October 12). This brings his 2025 season total to 14 touchdowns through seven games, averaging 2.0 per game, but his recent surge, clearing 2.5 TDs in three of his last five starts, including a four-TD game against Baltimore, makes this projection enticing. The return of wide receiver Rashee Rice adds a dynamic threat to this Chiefs' passing attack that figures to put a ton of pressure on the Commanders' defense this evening.

 

 

 

Marcus Mariota Monday Night Football Underdog NFL Pick: Lower Than 198.5 Passing Yards

Marcus Mariota, filling in for Washington, has been limited in 2025, completing 35 of 58 passes for 426 yards across roughly two-and-a-half games, averaging about 181.5 yards per game in his two full starts. His conservative style emphasizes short throws and mobility, not deep shots, which plays right into the hands of the Chiefs’ elite pass defense. Kansas City ranks third in the NFL, allowing just 174.6 passing yards per game, and has held opposing QBs under 200 yards in five of seven games, including a 95-yard shutdown of the Raiders recently.

 

 

 

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