Well, the Titans play the Texans this week, and you know what that means! It’s Derrick Henry week! He absolutely owns the Texans, and I expect his NFL player prop to be one of the most heavily played props for the whole week. In terms of daily fantasy football, his ownership is likely to be through the roof! The holiday season is upon us, so amidst spending time with family, be sure to check out all of the content here at Fantasy Alarm to help your seasonal fantasy football teams make its push to a fantasy football championship, and our NFL DFS content to help line those pockets! Here are some NFL player props that you must target this week on Thrive, and these players will also likely generate some interest for your Week 16 NFL DFS lineups. It’s time to #PropUp over at ThriveFantasy!



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Last week: 3-3
2022 Season: 24-24 (50%)


ThriveFantasy Top Picks NFL Week 16 for Saturday

Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans

OVER 96.5 Rushing Yards

How is ThriveFantasy giving us points to take the over here? Not only does Henry have 100+ rushing yards in each of his last two games, but he’s averaging 114 yards per game against Houston for his entire career. Furthermore, he’s gone for 200+ yards in four straight games (211, 212, 250, 219) against Houston, scoring multiple touchdowns in each contest.. The Texans have not been able to stop Henry, and they are one of the worst tackling teams in the league. Take the over and the free points from ThriveFantasy.


Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

OVER 320.5 Pass + Rush Yards

Seattle has enough firepower on offense to make this game interesting, and this feels like the exact type of game where Mahomes will statistically shine. Mahomes has 300+ passing yards in eight of his last nine games, and don’t ignore the fact that he is a sneaky good runner. Over his last seven games, he’s averaging 28.6 yards per game on the ground. If we look at his last seven games, he’s averaging those 28.6 yards on the ground, and a cool 333.9 yards through the air. Mahomes has averaged 327 passing yards per game at home this season, including over seven more pass attempts per game. Oh, his rushing production at home is also nearly doubled what it is on the road, so just more fuel to the fire. Take the over.


ThriveFantasy Top Picks NFL Week 15 for Sunday

Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

OVER 1.5 Pass TD’s + INT

In terms of this specific line, Brady has been very good, going over this line in five straight games. He has multiple touchdown passes in four of his last five, and he’s thrown at least one pick in four of five as well. The Cardinals are amongst the worst in the league in total passing touchdowns allowed, and they nearly average one interception per game. I think Brady gets multiple passing scores in this game, but an interception (or two) wouldn’t hurt the cause either.


Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins

OVER 21.5 Completions

Tagovailoa’s completion percentage at home is nearly five percentage points higher at home than on the road, and here are his number of completions in his home starts this season: 23, 13, 21, 25, and 22. The Dolphins have lost three in a row, but all of those games are on the road, and Tagovailoa and the Dolphins are a perfect 5-0 at home this year. Expect the Dolphins to win, and Tagovailoa to be efficient and effective through the air.


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