Need the best Splash Picks NFL picks today? Week 8's Sunday slate features a Jaguars lead back with a favorable script and a Cardinals quarterback heading into the week's highest-total game. Below, we cover our favorite Splash Picks NFL picks for this Week 8 slate, backed by player projections and the key matchups shaping each pick.
Colts vs. Jaguars and Cardinals vs. Cowboys: Game Outlook & Key Matchups
Bhayshul Tuten and the Jaguars are heavy home favorites against a Colts defense that ranks last in EPA per rush and 29th in rush defense DVOA, while Jacoby Brissett and the Cardinals travel to Dallas for a game with a 54.5-point total. Both players should see plenty of volume. Let's break down the Splash Picks plays we like most for this slate.
Best Splash Picks NFL Picks for Sunday, Week 8
Bhayshul Tuten NFL Splash Picks Pick: Higher 66.5 Rushing Yards
Tuten has handled about 18 touches per game for roughly 66% of Jacksonville's backfield opportunities, running for 388 yards through six games and topping 66.5 yards in three of them (73, 73, and 72). The Jaguars are heavy home favorites after their bye, and the Colts rank last in EPA per rush and 29th in rush defense DVOA with DeForest Buckner traded away. Rodriguez will take some carries, and Tuten's efficiency has been middling at 4.1 yards per carry, but a lead back in a game script like this should see plenty of work. Clearing 66.5 rushing yards looks like a good bet.
Jacoby Brissett NFL Splash Picks Pick: Higher 37.5 Pass Attempts
Brissett is a volume passer by necessity, throwing 40.3 times per game through seven starts, with 48 attempts last week and at least 40 in 10 of his 19 starts as a Cardinal. Arizona is a road underdog of about 6.5 points at Dallas in the week's highest-total game, and the Cowboys are tied for the most yards allowed in the league and rank 30th in pass defense DVOA. Brissett's 5.7 yards per attempt means he has to throw a lot to move the offense, and LaFleur has confirmed he keeps the job. Clearing 37.5 attempts looks very reasonable.
Splash Picks NFL Player Projections for Week 8 Sunday
Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Tuten and Brissett as our top plays for Sunday, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Splash Picks pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.
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