We flip the NFL DFS page over to Week 14. The chalky elite backs last week were complete flops as we got disappointing performances from Nick Chubb (8.0 points) and Austin Ekeler (14.5 points). We did get a rock solid performance from the chalky and cheap Zonovan Knight though. Enough about Week 13 though. I really like the mid-to-value tier running backs this week, headlined by D’Andre Swift and Ezekiel Elliott. Why else do I like them and who else do I like this week? Let’s dive into the top plays, values and fades for NFL DFS action on DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 14!
Be sure to check out the rest of the NFL DFS Coaches and DFS Watch List throughout the week!
NFL DFS RB Top Plays
Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans
Henry is coming off an awful game in which he finished with just 5.8 fantasy points. However, that has nothing to do with this week and the last two times that Henry has scored fewer than 10 fantasy points, he bounced back with 25+ points in the next game. On top of that, he has always been an absolute monster against the Jacksonville Jaguars (just check the history in the image below). He has racked up 1143 rushing yards in 11 games against them with 15 total touchdowns. This feels like it will be one of those Henry games where he racks up 30 carries, 120+ yards, and a score or two.
NFL DFS RB Mid-Tier Plays
Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys
Ezekiel Elliott hasn’t received the attention of Tony Pollard and that’s okay, but it doesn’t mean that Zeke has been a slouch himself. He has scored 15+ points in five straight games and is the goal line back of a high powered offense. Pollard will likely be the chalkier play this week, but Zeke could easily out-produce him and at a much cheaper price (I am not against playing Pollard though, just to be clear). The Texans rank as the best matchup in the league for running backs, even after holding Nick Chubb in check in Week 13. Zeke is a safe bet for volume and I would be surprised if he doesn’t find the end zone at least once this week.
NFL DFS RB Value Plays
D’Andre Swift, Detroit Lions
Swift had a strong game last week, finishing with 21.1 fantasy points. It was his first week not being included on the injury report and he racked up 14 carries, his first time with more than seven since Week 1. That tells me that we have to assume he is good to go and going to continue to get work. We know he is lethal in the passing game, which is great for fantasy, so if he can just get a few extra touches on the ground and really up his ceiling, that is big. We are talking about a back that was north of 7k on DK earlier in the year and we are getting him for sub-6k still (probably for the last time this season).
D’Onta Foreman, Carolina Panthers
Foreman and the Panthers make their return from their Week 13 bye week and should be refreshed. Foreman was great the last time we saw him, rushing for 113 yards against a tough Denver Broncos defense. It was his fourth game with north of 100 rushing yards over his past six games, so it is a bit surprising that he is this cheap. He also has a nice matchup on tap as the Panthers will take on Seahawks. The Panthers offense looked more competent with Sam Darnold, which isn’t saying a whole lot, but that could lead to more potential scoring opportunities.
Zonovan Knight, New York Jets
Knight was cheap chalk last week and he was good chalk as he came through with 16.8 points as just $4,600 on DK. He racked up nearly 100 yards on the ground and caught all five of his targets. He has now caught all eight of his targets through two games while averaging 5.5 yards per carry. Needless to say, he has been impressive, and there is no reason to think that the Jets will go away from him, even if Michael Carter makes his return to action. He is still cheap this week and I think we can fire him up again. I don’t love the ceiling, but I think he is a pretty safe bet for points and the Jets have shown the ability to have successful RB games this year.
NFL DFS RB Fades
Dameon Pierce, Houston Texans
I am a Pierce truther and if you read the RB coach last week, you know he was in there even if he provided a “meh” point total. I think he is a good player, but I do not like him for DFS this week. He hasn’t been producing and that is mostly because the Texans passing offense is so abysmal that teams don’t really have to worry about it. And while that is not Pierce’s fault, it doesn’t impact how many fantasy points he scores and we obviously want lots of fantasy points. This matchup with the Cowboys is a tough one and I would not be surprised to see the Texans get blown out once again this week.
Other Potential Options Based on Injury Updates to Starters
- Monitor the Seahawks backfield, multiple injuries could lead to a cheap chalk back.
- Samaje Perine, Cincinnati Bengals