Week 11 of the NFL season is here and we are loaded with top end talent at the QB position this week with the likes of Tua Tagovailoa, Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, Dak Prescott and C.J. Stroud leading the way at the top of the pricing tier. We also have the return of Justin Fields and Matthew Stafford this week after both had missed games for the teams over the prior weeks. The matchups this week are also pretty juicy so lets waste no time and get to this week's top QB plays for your DFS lineups.
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NFL DFS QB Top Tier Picks
If it feels like it has been forever since we last saw Tua on the main slate thats because it has been. The Dolphins were on a bye in Week 10 and played the Sunday morning game against the Chiefs in Week 9 which mean's it's been a few weeks since we've been able to roster the Tua/Hill combo. Tagovailoa has played at another level at home this season, averaging 25.6 fantasy points per game. This week the Dolphins face off against the Raiders who have enjoyed back-to-back wins under their new head coach but they are in for a rude awakening this week as they travel to Miami to face this Dolphins offense.
11 touchdowns with just two interceptions over the past three weeks feels pretty pretty good. The Cowboys are blowing lesser teams out of the water and a matchup against the Panthers is not one that I'm expecting to be too much of an issue here for this surging Cowboys offense. Prescott and Ceedee Lamb are entering the conversation when it comes to the best QB/WR duo in football.
Stroud is entering the MVP conversation as a rookie after leading the Texans to yet another win in Week 10. On the season the rookie QB has 15 touchdowns with just two interceptions while owning a 101.0 QB rating. In Week 11 the Texans return home to face off against a Cardinals defense that is among the worst in football. A matchup against Kyler Murray is going to make this a fun game to watch and could force this Texans offense into a shootout which is always good for DFS.
NFL DFS QB Mid-Tier Picks
No team throws more than the Commanders which means Howell has one of the higher ceilings when it comes to DFS. Last week against the Seahawks he had 44 pass attempts while throwing for 312 yards and three touchdowns. He has at least 21 fantasy points in three straight weeks with games of 28 and 34 fantasy points during that stretch. This week the Commanders are home against a Giants team that just got torched by Dak Prescott and the Cowboys passing attack.
I don't love playing Goff because of how good the Lions running game is but the numbers for Goff at home this year has him on my radar. In four home starts this season Goff has averaged 21.8 fantasy points per game. This week the Lions welcome in the lowly Chicago Bears who could get a spark from a returning Justin Fields and if that ends up being the case then Goff could be forced into a back-and-forth matchup.
We got a high game total here between the Cardinals and Texans and while Murray didn't wow us with gaudy passing numbers he did show that his mobility is 100% back, carrying the ball six times for 33 yards and a touchdown while throwing for 249 yards and an interception. The Texans pass defense allowed 347 yards and two touchdowns to Joe Burrow last week and we know the Arizona Cardinals defense isn't stopping C.J. Stroud so I'm expecting a ceiling passing yardage game from Murray here this week.
NFL DFS QB Value Picks
The worry always exists that Christian McCaffrey will just take over a game and the touchdowns go to him and now from Purdy throwing the football. That said, the Buccaneers pass defense is not very good and now you have them traveling across the country to face the 49ers in San Francisco. Last week, Purdy had a ton of success throwing the football against the Jaguars and he now has back-to-back games with an average of 24 fantasy points.
NFL DFS QB Fade
I mean, how can you trust Allen right now? The Bills fired their offensive coordinator after the teams loss to the Broncos in Week 10. Allen has 11 interceptions now on the season and while his overall numbers look fine, the matchup against a Jets defense that picked him off three times in Week 1 does not instill much confidence in the Buffalo signal caller this week.