NFL Week 7 Best Player Prop Picks - Sunday, 10/19
As NFL Week 7 heats up on Sunday, October 19, fans and bettors are in for a packed slate of intriguing matchups that could redefine divisional races and showcase individual brilliance.Â
Highlights include a prime-time showdown where rushing attacks collide with defensive grit, alongside afternoon battles testing offensive efficiency and challenging stout pass defenses.
 In this guide to the best player prop picks, we'll break down key opportunities from yardage overs to touchdown scorers, drawing on stats, trends, and matchup insights to help you cash in on the action.
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Best NFL Week 7 Player Prop Picks: Jaxson Dart Under 181.5 Passing Yards
The excitement surrounding Jaxson Dart’s early success with the New York Giants is likely to cool off this week as they travel to face a formidable Denver Broncos defense.Â
Dart, who sparked headlines with a debut win against a tough opponent and a stunning upset on Thursday Night Football, now faces a steep challenge in Denver’s hostile environment, where the Broncos boast one of the NFL’s top pass defenses.Â
With star receiver Malik Nabers sidelined for the season and Darius Slayton likely unavailable again, Dart’s options are limited.Â
Facing reigning Defensive Player of the Year Patrick Surtain, who should easily handle the Giants’ remaining receivers, Dart’s passing game is poised for a tough day.Â
I’m betting on the under for his passing yards this weekend.
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NFL Week 7 Player Prop Bets: Kayshon Boutte Over 2.5 Receptions
Last week, we cashed in on Kayshon Boutte’s hometown narrative against the Saints, where he delivered with five catches for nearly 100 yards and two touchdowns.Â
While the narrative isn’t as strong this week, his reception prop of over 2.5 at plus-odds still looks like a steal. Boutte logs more snaps than any other receiver on the Patriots, a team with the league’s weakest rushing attack, forcing them to rely heavily on the passing game.Â
With Stefon Diggs potentially limited by a chest injury, rookie QB Drake Maye may lean even more on his top outside receiver against a shaky Titans defense, making Boutte a solid bet to exceed this low reception line.
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NFL Week 7 Player Props: Brashard Smith Over 13.5 Receiving Yards
Brashard Smith of the Chiefs has been a consistent target, hauling in three receptions in each of the last three weeks, never dipping below 20 receiving yards in those games.Â
This pick carries some risk, as Smith has been on the field for only nine percent of offensive snaps in each of the past two games, suggesting his touches are highly scripted.Â
However, his efficiency is notable, with just one drop over the last three weeks. With a modest prop of 13.5 receiving yards, Smith’s ability to turn his three-to-four targets per game into chunk plays in open space makes the over a tempting bet, given his knack for maximizing limited opportunities.
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NFL Week 7 Player Props Top Picks: Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns
Back the Chiefs here. In their last two home games, Patrick Mahomes threw for four and three touchdowns, respectively, against opponents.Â
This week, the Chiefs face the Raiders at home, a team Mahomes has consistently dominated.Â
The over 2.5 passing touchdowns offers solid odds, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Mahomes surpasses this total by halftime.
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