Looking for the sharpest NFL Week 11 player prop picks? We’ve scoured the matchups, trends, injury reports, and advanced stats to bring you the top player prop bets with the highest edge, including, passing yards, rushing props, receiving yards, and more. Whether you’re hunting plus-money value on underdog props or locking in safer over/unders on stars, these are the best NFL player props for Week 11 Sunday slate that sportsbooks don’t want you to find.

 

 

 

Best NFL Week 11 Player Prop Picks: Joe Flacco Over 39.5 Pass Attempts

Joe Flacco continues to start for the Cincinnati Bengals, which means a pass-heavy approach for the Bengals' offense. On the season, Flacco has averaged 41.6 pass attempts per game, going over 39.5 in most starts, including 47 attempts in two of his last three games, which includes a start against this same Pittsburgh Steelers defense.

The Steelers allow a ton of pass attempts (29th in the league at 35.7 per game) and passing yards (31st at 261.6). In a close divisional matchup, expect Cincinnati to lean on the pass, making this over a solid bet.

 

 

 

NFL Week 11 Player Props: Christian Watson Over 22.5 Longest Reception

Packers WR Christian Watson is a deep threat, averaging 23.5 yards per catch. He's had a reception over 22.5 in every recent game, including bombs of 52, 33, and 25 yards.

The Giants' secondary struggles with big plays, allowing the longest completions in the league and ranking 25th in passing yards given up (246.1 per game). While the Packers passing attack has struggled, we know that Love is going to take some shots downfield against this Giants defense and those shots are going to go in the direction of Watson.

 

 

 

NFL Week 11 Player Props: RJ Harvey Under 53.5 Rushing Yards

With J.K. Dobbins out due to a foot injury, Harvey steps into the starting role for Denver against Kansas City. It's a rough spot against the Chiefs, who allow just 104.6 rushing yards per game this season, and that's dropped to only 75.3 over their last three. Harvey hasn't handled a big load all year, topping out at 14 carries for 58 yards in a rout of the Bengals. He's had only two runs over 10 yards: a 50-yarder in Week 1 vs. the Titans and a 40-yarder against the Cowboys. His three best games? All against bottom-five run defenses. Harvey will likely grind it out with low efficiency and without massive carries, this under hits.

 

 

 

NFL Week 11 Player Props: Davis Mills Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

We touted this exact play at plus-odds last week and it hit, so why not go back to the well with Mills this week as the Texans face off against the Tennessee Titans?

Against Jacksonville, we saw Mills throw for 292 yards and two scores. The Titans defense is bad against both the run and the pass and while this game has a low over/under, we do see Houston as a 5.5-point road favorite. I’m expecting the Texans to move the football downfield without much resistance setting up Mills for opportunities to to put points on the board. 

 

 

 

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