NFL Week 11 kicks off with an AFC East Thursday Night Football matchup between the New York Jets (2-7) and the New England Patriots (8-2). The Patriots enter as heavy favorites, boasting a top-tier offense and a solid defense. The Jets have struggled offensively and defensively. Key injuries could impact both sides: For the Jets, edge rusher Will McDonald IV (quad) and DT Harrison Phillips (foot) did not practice early in the week, potentially weakening their front. For the Patriots, TE Austin Hooper is sidelined (concussion), while RBs Rhamondre Stevenson (toe)and Terrell Jennings (knee) are limited, along with WR Kayshon Boutte (hamstring). Matchup data favors the Patriots, who rank 5th in defensive efficiency against the pass and 8th against the run, while the Jets' defense sits 28th overall. 

 

 

 

Best NFL Monday Night Football Player Prop Picks: Drake Maye Under 28.5 Pass Attempts

This one is all about game flow. The Patriots are 11.5-point home favorites against a Jets team that can’t throw the football and will be without their top receiver in Garrett Wilson. The Patriots boast one of the best run defenses in the NFL so it’s difficult to imagine they get anything going offensively. What this likely leads to is the Patriots getting out front early and Maye only needing 25 pass attempts at most while the Patriots' running game takes over against this soft Jets run defense.

 

 

 

Jets vs Patriots Player Props: Demario Douglas Over 27.5 Receiving Yards

We like Douglas here with Kayshon Boutte likely to miss another week with his hamstring injury. Douglas has cleared this total in four of the last five games, which includes each of the last three. He’s also been a big play guy for the Patriots, with long catches of 53, 44, 58, and 26 in those four contests. The Jets' pass defense ranks towards the bottom of the league, and while we don’t figure to see a robust Patriots pass attack this week, we will still likely see some downfield attempts by Maye early on as the Patriots look to establish the lead.

 

 

 

Jets vs Patriots Player Props Player Prop Bets: Justin Fields Under 0.5 Passing Touchdowns

This pick here is two-fold in a sense that first, the Jets' passing attack ranks dead last in the NFL and will go into this game without Garrett Wilson, and second, there’s a chance that Fields doesn’t last this entire game with Tyrod Taylor looming as a replacement if Fields gets off to yet another really slow start. Yes, the Patriots defense has actually gotten off to some slow start this season, allowing some bad offenses to score early touchdowns but on a short week, at home, that just doesn’t feel as likely here and remember, we need less than one passing touchdown so even if the Jets do score, the odds of it coming on the ground seem more likely.

 

 

 

Thursday Night Football Player Props: Breece Hall Under 60.5 Rushing Yards

For the first time all season, the Patriots allowed an opposing running back to crack 50 yards last week as Sean Tucker rumbled his way to 53 yards on nine carries, aided by an 18-yard burst. Yes, Breece Hall is one of the league's better running backs, especially when you get him on the edge outside but the Patriots are allowing the fewest rushing yards per game in the NFL by a significant amount, holding opposing teams to 79.2 yards per game on the ground with the Texans clocking in with the second best run defense at 90.3 yards per game. The Jets offense is going to be run-heavy, but they can only run the football for so long as they are 11.5-point road underdogs, and eventually they will need to throw the football if they hope to stay competitive. 

 

 

 

How to bet on NFL Week 11 Thursday Night Football Player Props At Novig & Claim Your $50 Bonus With Promo Code ALARM

As for actually using ALARM, you should see that our links & banners have filled it in for you, but even if not, the steps below will have you set up in no time at all:

  1. Join here for a new Novig account
  2. Download the app & complete the verification process
  3. Enter the best Novig promo code ALARM
  4. Spend at least $5 using the Coin Store

You’ll then automatically receive your $50 bonus, and again, you can start using their commission-free lines to make picks on anything, not just NFL Week 11 today.
 

Â