Looking for the best NFL TNF player prop picks for Week 5? The winless Buccaneers, starting undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels at quarterback, visit the 2-2 Cowboys on Thursday night with Dallas an 8.5-point home favorite and the total set at 47.5. Below, we break down our top Buccaneers vs. Cowboys player props, complete with the lines and the matchup context behind each play.

Best NFL Thursday Night Football Player Prop Picks

Dallas owns the NFL's second-highest scoring offense and has seen the over hit in all four of its games, while Tampa Bay is 0-4 with Baker Mayfield sidelined by a dislocated thumb. The Cowboys rank last in the league in yards allowed per play, but the Buccaneers' offense is averaging just 278.3 yards per game, and Tampa Bay's defense has been better than its record, ranking fourth in total defense and third against the run. Here are the props we like best for this one.

 

 

 

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Player Props: CeeDee Lamb Over 79.5 Receiving Yards

Lamb has been the most-targeted player in the league, piling up 46 targets, 37 catches, 498 receiving yards, and four touchdowns through four games, the most receiving yards through four weeks in Cowboys history. He has topped 100 yards in each of the last three games (153, 112, and 189), including a career-high 17 catches for 189 yards and the game-winning touchdown against Houston last week, and he has cleared this number in three of four games. Tampa Bay's defense ranks ninth against the pass, but safety Antoine Winfield and cornerback Benjamin Morrison both sat out practice early in the week. With Dallas owning the NFL's second-highest scoring offense and favored by 8.5 points, Lamb should keep getting fed, and clearing 79.5 yards looks very reasonable.

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Player Prop Bets: Javonte Williams Over 17.5 Rushing Attempts

Williams has been the clear workhorse in Dallas, taking 62 of the team's carries through four games while no other Cowboys running back has more than nine. After 24 carries across the first two games, he has handled 19 in each of the last two, running for 98 yards and a touchdown against Baltimore and scoring a career-high three touchdowns against Houston, and he has taken 18 of Dallas' 25 red-zone rushing attempts. Dallas has been chasing double-digit deficits in three of its four games, but this week the Cowboys are 8.5-point home favorites against a winless Tampa Bay team starting a rookie quarterback, a script that flips the offense toward the ground. If Dallas builds a lead, Williams should pick up the garbage-time carries that run out the clock. Tampa Bay ranks third against the run, which could limit his yardage, but this prop is about volume, and clearing 17.5 carries looks very attainable.

 

 

 

Thursday Night Football Player Props: Jalon Daniels Under 181.5 Passing Yards

Daniels is more of a mobile quarterback than a passing quarterback, and his first NFL start showed it, with 19 completions on 27 attempts for just 148 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions, plus eight carries for 55 yards with his legs. The offense around him has been among the league's most disjointed, averaging just 278.3 total yards per game and allowing 16 sacks through four weeks, and he now plays a short week in his first road start with Baker Mayfield still sidelined by a dislocated thumb. Even if Tampa Bay trails, his game is built around scrambling more than throwing, and the Cowboys have allowed the most rushing yards in the league to dual-threat quarterbacks. With his only start sitting at 148 passing yards, a line of 181.5 leaves cushion on the under.

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Player Prop Bets: Chris Godwin Over 3.5 Receptions

Godwin was the clear top target for Jalon Daniels in the rookie's first career start, leading Tampa Bay with seven targets and six catches, a season high in both, as the offense leaned on short and intermediate throws. He has 16 catches on 19 targets through four games (four, three, three, and six), though the production has been all volume at just 142 yards and no touchdowns, so this is a pure reception play. With Daniels looking his way early and often, and Dallas ranked last in the league in yards allowed per play, Godwin should keep seeing the kind of volume that gets him to four catches. He has reached that number in two of four games, including last week's season high, and clearing 3.5 receptions looks very reasonable.

 

 

 

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