Looking for the best NFL player prop picks today for Week 4's Sunday slate? From an MVP-caliber start in Kansas City to a pair of backs stepping into bigger workloads, there's plenty of value to dig into across the board. Below, we break down our top NFL Sunday Week 4 player prop picks, complete with the lines and the matchup context behind each play.

 

 

 

Best NFL Sunday Week 4 Player Prop Picks

Patrick Mahomes has been as good as anyone in football through three weeks, Jeremiyah Love just turned in his first true workhorse game as a rookie, and both Brenton Strange and Aaron Jones draw matchups that set up in their favor. Here are the props we like best from that slate.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Player Prop Bets: Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Passing TDs

Mahomes has been nothing short of elite to open his season, completing 68.4% of his passes for 812 yards with seven touchdowns against just two interceptions through three games, good for a 108.9 passer rating. He's thrown multiple touchdown passes in every game so far, including three in a Week 2 shootout win over Indianapolis, and the Chiefs have no reason to ease off that approach against a Raiders defense in a divisional matchup with first place in the AFC West on the line. With this level of efficiency and volume established over a three-game sample, clearing 1.5 passing touchdowns looks like a very safe floor for Mahomes.

Jaguars vs. Bengals Player Prop Bets: Brenton Strange Over 32.5 Receiving Yards

Strange has been a limited but consistent weapon for Jacksonville, posting 23, 17, and 32 receiving yards across his first three games despite operating on just a 12.3% target share. This week's matchup could hardly be better suited to change that, with Cincinnati having allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to tight ends through three weeks and this game's total sitting in the low 50s, among the highest on the Week 4 board. A clear No. 1 tight end role in a potential shootout against one of the league's softer tight end defenses gives Strange a real chance to set a new season high and clear 32.5 yards.

Cardinals vs. Giants Player Prop Bets: Jeremiyah Love Over 15.5 Rushing Attempts

Love broke out in a big way in Week 3, turning a season-high 21 carries into 90 yards while adding five catches for 19 yards and a touchdown, the first time all season Arizona has fed its rookie first-round pick a true workhorse workload. That usage lines up with the investment the Cardinals made in him as the third overall pick, and there's no indication the team plans to pull back after finally letting him carry the offense. With his role trending toward a bell-cow workload and a Giants defense that gives opposing teams little reason to abandon the run, clearing 15.5 carries looks very attainable off that kind of momentum.

Dolphins vs. Vikings Player Prop Bets: Aaron Jones Over 67.5 Rushing Yards

Jones has been the engine of Minnesota's offense since Jordan Mason fractured his thumb and landed on injured reserve, averaging 20 carries and 81.5 rushing yards over his last two games as the clear workhorse back. The matchup sets up about as well as it gets, with the Vikings currently sitting as an 11.5-point home favorite against a winless Dolphins team that has allowed a league-high 30.3 fantasy points per game to running backs and given up seven touchdowns to the position through three weeks. With Justin Jefferson also out, Minnesota should lean on the ground game even more to control this one, and clearing 67.5 rushing yards looks like a very reasonable number for a back averaging well beyond that over his last two outings.

 

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