NFL Sunday Week 3 Best Player Prop Picks: Props, Odds & Predictions - Sunday, 9/27
Looking for the best NFL player prop picks today for Week 3's Sunday slate? From a pair of hot-handed quarterbacks to a receiver piling up historic volume, there's plenty of value to dig into across the board. Below, we break down our top NFL Sunday Week 3 player prop picks, complete with the lines and the matchup context behind each play.
Best NFL Sunday Week 3 Player Prop Picks
Week 3 gives us a great read on which quarterbacks and pass catchers have separated themselves early. Kirk Cousins and Geno Smith have both quietly put together strong starts on new teams; Chris Olave trails only Amon-Ra St. Brown in catches league-wide, and Daniel Jones is working with a thinner receiver room after losing Alec Pierce for the season. Here are the props we like best from that slate.
Jets vs. Lions Player Props: Geno Smith Over 1.5 Passing TDs
Smith has been steady without lighting up the scoreboard through two games, completing 70.8% of his passes for 462 yards but managing just a single passing touchdown so far. That should change in a big way against a Lions defense that's missing both starting safeties, Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph, and has allowed three touchdown passes apiece to Tyler Shough and Josh Allen over the past two weeks. Detroit's secondary has been thoroughly beaten through nine quarters of action, and offensive coordinator Frank Reich has already signaled the Jets will open things up downfield if given the opportunity. With a banged-up Lions secondary that's been unable to stop anybody through the air, multiple touchdown passes from Smith look like a very reasonable outcome.
Raiders vs. Saints Player Prop Bets: Kirk Cousins Over 1.5 Passing TDs
Cousins has been a revelation in Las Vegas, throwing for six touchdowns and helping the Raiders to a 2-0 start, their best since 2021. He's completed a strong share of his throws downfield despite an uneven supporting cast, and this week he gets a Saints defense that opened the year by allowing 469 total yards and 31 points to Detroit, even if New Orleans tightened things up considerably in a Week 2 win over Baltimore. Brock Bowers is also set to make his 2026 debut after missing the first two games recovering from a knee procedure, giving Cousins another dangerous weapon in the passing game. With Cousins averaging three touchdown passes per game so far and a fresh red-zone weapon rejoining the lineup, clearing 1.5 passing scores looks very likely.
Raiders vs. Saints Player Props: Chris Olave Over 77.5 Receiving Yards
Olave has been nothing short of dominant to start the year, catching 18 of 23 targets for 268 yards and a touchdown across two games, trailing only Amon-Ra St. Brown in catches league-wide. He's been especially effective working out of the slot, where his 105 yards rank third among all receivers this season, and he now draws a Raiders defense that ranks 29th in the league in yards allowed to slot receivers. With No. 8 overall pick Jordyn Tyson set to miss a month or two with a hamstring injury, Olave remains Tyler Shough's unquestioned top target with no competition for volume. A wide receiver already averaging 134 yards per game, finding 77.5 in a favorable matchup looks like a very safe bet.
Texans vs. Colts Player Prop Bets: Daniel Jones Under 216.5 Passing Yards
Jones has thrown for 166 and then 210 yards over his first two games back from a torn Achilles, both outings comfortably under this number. The Colts also just lost top receiver Alec Pierce, who torched Houston for 210 yards and three touchdowns across two games last season, to injured reserve, removing a key piece of the passing attack ahead of this matchup. Jonathan Taylor has been the engine of this offense instead, already racking up 190 rushing yards through two games, and Indianapolis figures to keep leaning on him to control the clock against a Texans defense that's struggled to stop the run. With a limited receiver room and a run-first game plan against Houston, staying under 216.5 passing yards looks like the likely outcome.
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