The Broncos (9-2) are heavy road favorites (-6 to -6.5) against a struggling Commanders (3-8) team starting Marcus Mariota in place of injured QB Jayden Daniels. Denver's elite defense (No. 1 in sacks, top-5 vs. the pass) should limit Washington's offense, while the Broncos exploit a Commanders secondary that ranks bottom-5 in passing yards allowed and net yards per attempt. Expect Denver to control the clock with a run-heavy approach but still generate chunk plays through the air against a vulnerable pass defense. 

 

 

Best NFL Sunday Night Football Player Prop Picks: Marcus Mariota Under 190.5 Passing Yards

Nobody rushes the QB better than the Denver Broncos and while missing their top QB the Broncos also still rank among the best pass defenses in the NFL. The Commanders are not going to be a volume passing offense under Marcus Mariota and while he's gone over this total in each of his last three starts, throwing exactly 213 yards in all three of them, this is going to be his toughest test of the season and one I don't imagine he finds himself completing 65-to-70% of his throws as he had done over those last three starts.
 

 

 

Broncos vs Commanders Player Props: Jaleel McLaughlin Over 30.5 Rushing Yards

While everyone continues to focus on RJ Harvey as the lead running back with J.K. Dobbins ruled out I still look over at McLaughlin and expect him to handle some some of the workload and in Week 11 against a really good Chiefs run defense that saw him finish with six carries for 19 yards. If he finds his way to another 6-to-8 carries tonight in a positive game script against an easier opponent in the Washington Commanders then I think the over 30.5 is very live for him.

 

 

Broncos vs Commanders Player Prop Bets: RJ Harvey Over 2.5 Receptions

Speaking of RJ Harvey, he's clearly going to be on the field as the primary running back and we know one of his best skills is to catch the football out of the backfield. He had three catches against the Chiefs back in Week 11 and five catches against Houston back in Week 9. Given the easier matchup today against the Commanders I can see Harvey on the field and making plays with Bo Nix getting his running back the football in space to make plays here this evening. 
  

 

 

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