As the New England Patriots face off against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday Night Football, October 5, 2025, player prop bets offer an exciting way to engage with this AFC East showdown. 

With both teams showcasing dynamic talent and high-stakes performances, our expert analysis dives into the top player prop picks for the game. 

From standout quarterbacks to key playmakers, we’ve scoured the stats, trends, and matchups to bring you the best betting opportunities for this primetime clash. Get ready to elevate your game-day experience with these carefully selected prop bets!

 

Best NFL Sunday Night Football Player Prop Picks: Stefon Diggs Over 49.5 Receiving Yards

After a quiet start with the Patriots, Diggs excelled last week against Carolina, catching six of seven targets for 101 yards from the slot. In Josh McDaniels' system, slot receivers and tight ends often thrive. 

While Diggs, at his current age, isn't the elite outside receiver he once was, his exceptional hands and precise route-running suit him for short-yardage plays, making him a focal point in New England's offense tonight. 

For the prop, he needs 50+ receiving yards, a mark he’s reached in two of four games this season.

 

Patriots  vs Bills Player Props: Josh Allen Over 29.5 Pass Attempts

Josh Allen has exceeded 29.5 pass attempts only once this season, during the Bills' stunning comeback victory against the Baltimore Ravens on opening night, where he threw 46 times.

Since then, he’s had 22, 28, and 25 pass attempts in wins against the Jets, Dolphins, and Saints.

So why back the over today? The Bills-Patriots matchup is likely to be more competitive than those prior games.

Under Mike Vrabel, the Patriots are coming off a 42-point performance against the Carolina Panthers. The Bills' defense has been inconsistent, and with the betting line moving from 10.5 to 7.5 and a game total of 48.5, Vegas expects a close, high-scoring game.

This suggests Allen will throw the ball frequently tonight.

 

Patriots  vs Bills Player Prop Bets: Drake Maye Over 226.5 Passing Yards

Drake Maye is among the NFL's top five quarterbacks in passing yards this season before Week 5, exceeding his 226.5-yard projection in three of his first four games. 

His only shortfall came last week against the Panthers, with 203 yards in a 42-point Patriots victory where his arm was less critical.

Tonight, Maye faces a tougher test as the Patriots take on the undefeated Buffalo Bills, the AFC East leaders, as 7.5-point road underdogs on Sunday Night Football.

The Patriots' hopes of upsetting the Bills rest heavily on Maye's ability to deliver.

 

Sunday Night Football Player Props: Dalton Kincaid Over 33.5 Receiving Yards

The Patriots' secondary features solid cover corners, but their linebackers and safeties are less reliable. 

Josh Allen and the Bills' offense have frequently targeted Dalton Kincaid early in games, with Kincaid surpassing his receiving yard totals in each of the first three weeks before last week's matchup.

Look for Kincaid to draw early targets tonight, as he’s shown he can handle 20+ yard passes up the middle.
 

 

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