NFL MNF Best Player Prop Picks: Lions vs. Ravens - Monday, 9/22
As the NFL's Monday Night Football spotlight hits primetime, the Detroit Lions (2-0) clash with the Baltimore Ravens (1-1) in a high-stakes AFC North-NFC North showdown at M&T Bank Stadium, where explosive offenses and gritty defenses promise fireworks under the lights.Â
With Lamar Jackson's dual-threat wizardry facing off against Jared Goff's surgical precision, and rosters boasting stars like Derrick Henry and Amon-Ra St. Brown, this matchup is ripe for value in player props, think rushing yards, receiving touchdowns, and anytime scores that could swing your bets.Â
Drawing from early-season trends, advanced stats, and matchup edges, we've zeroed in on the top four prop picks with strong projections and implied odds value for September 22's marquee tilt.Â
Let's dive in and cash some tickets.
Best NFL Monday Night Football Player Prop Picks: Zay Flowers Over 5.5 Receptions
Zay Flowers has emerged as a true target magnet early this season, racking up 20 targets across the first two games as Baltimore's primary wideout.Â
He's converted those opportunities into seven receptions in each matchup so far. Detroit's defense shines more in its pass rush and front seven than in the secondary, as evidenced by Green Bay's aerial dominance against them in Week 1 before the Lions dominated Chicago in Week 2.
With Detroit's attention likely locked on neutralizing the Ravens' RPO plays featuring Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson, Flowers should see a steady stream of targets.Â
His route-running style emphasizes quick, short-area throws within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage, setting him up for success.
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Lions vs. Ravens Player Props: Jahmyr Gibbs Over 2.5 1Q Receiving Yards
In Week 1, Jahmyr Gibbs hauled in an impressive 10 receptions for the Lions. Then in Week 2 versus the Bears, he notched three catches during a matchup where Detroit jumped out to an early lead. The reasoning for this prop is straightforward:Â
The Lions consistently feature Gibbs in their passing game, deploying various schemes to get him the ball in space.Â
Essentially, all it takes is one completion to Gibbs for this bet to hit, since it's highly unlikely he'd catch a pass without picking up at least three yards.
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Lions vs. Ravens Player Prop Bets: De’Andre Hopkins Over 21.5 Yards Receiving
DeAndre Hopkins has been a flawless receiver for the Ravens early this season, catching all four targets for 99 yards and a pair of touchdowns.
During the close Week 1 defeat to the Bills, he played 35% of the offensive snaps, but that fell to 18% in the lopsided victory against the Browns. Offensive coordinator Todd Monken commented on the reduced usage, indicating that Hopkins' involvement will increase as the year unfolds.
The matchup with the Lions on Monday Night Football is likely to be a tight affair, setting the stage for Hopkins to see expanded playing time and opportunities. Look for him to draw several targets in a more prominent role.Â
We're betting against the under on his 21.5 receiving yards prop for this game, particularly given that he's surpassed that threshold in each of his first two outings.
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Monday Night Football Player Props: David Montgomery Over 37.5 Rushing Yards
The Lions are committed to their ground game, featuring a dynamic duo where Jahmyr Gibbs provides the explosive speed and David Montgomery delivers the bruising power.
Montgomery has logged exactly 11 carries in both of the team's opening games this year, including a strong 57-yard performance last week versus the Bears.
Since arriving in Detroit, he's consistently averaged more than 4.0 yards per attempt, and I anticipate a comparable showing tonight against the Ravens, whose rush defense has been mediocre so far and recently surrendered over 6.0 yards per carry to Quinshon Judkins.
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