The Week 8 Monday Night Football matchup pits the Washington Commanders against the Kansas City Chiefs in a clash that promises plenty of betting value. With Patrick Mahomes leading a high-octane Chiefs offense and Marcus Mariota stepping in for Washington, player prop bets offer intriguing opportunities. Below, we dive into the best player prop picks for this October 27, 2025, showdown, backed by matchup analysis, recent performances, and projections.

 

 

 

Best NFL Monday Night Football Player Prop Picks: Patrick Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns

Mahomes has been lights out, throwing at least three touchdowns in three of his last four games. The injection of playmaker Rashee Rice only strengthens Kansas City’s passing attack, which can lead to more opportunities for points. The Commanders' secondary is really going to be tested tonight with Mahomes a leading MVP candidate.

 

 

 

Commanders vs Chiefs Player Props: Marcus Mariota Under 198.5 Passing Yards

Mariota is once again starting for the injured Jayden Daniels. In his two starts this season, he is averaging 181.5 passing yards, and while he exceeded this total in his last outing against the Raiders, this is a much tougher pass defense that he will be up against, as Kansas City ranks third in pass defense, limiting opponents to 174.6 yards per game through the air.

 

 

 

Commanders vs Chiefs Player Prop Bets: Brashard Smith Over 17.5 Receiving Yards

Chiefs rookie RB Brashard Smith has become a key pass-catching option in 2025, highlighted by a five-catch, 42-yard game against the Raiders. In his last four games, he’s hauled in 14 receptions on 16 targets, consistently surpassing 17.5 receiving yards each time. While Washington’s rush defense allows 126 yards per game, their pass rush may push Mahomes to rely on quick checkdowns to Smith, who excels in these scenarios. Kansas City’s top-five ranking in RB targets ensures Smith sees action, with plays often designed to get him the ball when he’s on the field.

 

 

 

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