Get ready for an electrifying Monday Night Football showdown as the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Jacksonville Jaguars on October 6, 2025! 

With both teams showcasing dynamic playmakers and high-octane offenses, this game promises plenty of action for NFL prop bettors. 

Our expert analysis dives into the top player prop picks, highlighting key performers and statistical trends to help you make informed betting decisions. 

Whether you're banking on a quarterback's arm, a running back's explosiveness, or a receiver's knack for finding the end zone, we've got you covered with the best bets for this exciting AFC clash.

 

 

 

Best NFL Monday Night Football Player Prop Picks: Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-145)

Last week, we were confident in Mahomes exceeding 1.5 passing touchdowns against the Ravens, and he crushed it with four. This week, I’m expecting a similar performance. 

The Chiefs’ run game is still struggling and now faces a solid Jacksonville run defense. 

With Xavier Worthy back, the Chiefs’ passing attack gains another explosive weapon, making it tougher to defend. I’m betting on Mahomes to throw at least two touchdown passes tonight.

 

 

 

Chiefs vs. Jaguars Player Props: Xavier Worthy 2+ 1Q Receptions (+169)

Xavier Worthy returned to the Chiefs’ lineup last week, hauling in five receptions on eight targets, including two catches on the opening drive against the Ravens, as Patrick Mahomes targeted his top receiver early.

Listed as questionable for tonight’s matchup, Worthy is now expected to play. Despite some injury risk, if he’s active and starting, he’s likely to be a key part of the Chiefs’ passing game, especially against a Jaguars defense that’s stout against the run, encouraging Kansas City to attack through the air early.

 

 

 

Chiefs vs. Jaguars Player Prop Bets: Brenton Strange Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

The Chiefs have been solid against tight ends this season, but defensive stats against the position depend heavily on matchups, as not all teams emphasize tight ends in their passing game. 

Brenton Strange, the 2023 second-round pick, has emerged as a key target, with 19 receptions on 23 targets through four games, exceeding 34.5 receiving yards in three of those. 

Over the last two weeks, he’s been targeted 14 times, catching 12 passes for 106 yards. 

As a growing favorite for Trevor Lawrence, Strange is a strong bet to go over 34.5 receiving yards in tonight’s matchup.

 

 

 

Monday Night Football Player Props: Dyami Brown Over 27.5 Receiving Yards (-109)

Dyami Brown started the season strong with the Jaguars, recording eight receptions on 11 targets for 109 yards and a touchdown in his first two games. 

An injury in Week 3 against the Texans forced him to miss Week 4, but he’s now cleared the injury report for the Jaguars’ Week 5 clash with the Chiefs. 

His receiving yards prop is set at 27.5, roughly half his average output from his two healthy games. 

With snap counts of 71% and 80% in Weeks 1 and 2, Brown is expected to resume a significant role in Jacksonville’s offense, making this an attractive line to target.

 

 

 

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