Vikings vs. Packers Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 12, Sunday 11/23
With the second half of the season fully underway, get ready for classic and meaningful NFC North rivalries week in and week out. That includes at Lambeau this Sunday with Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers hosting JJ McCarthy and the Minnesota Vikings. Therefore, we’ve got our best Vikings vs. Packers predictions for Sunday.
Even if you’re in Minnesota or Green Bay without legal sports betting, you’ll be able to add to your Vikings vs. Packers picks this week with the guaranteed 10x Novig Sportsbook promo code bonus that we’ve also shared below!
Vikings vs. Packers Predictions for NFL Week 12, Sunday 11/23
It’s felt like the Packers have either been a part of epic potential playoff previews or games in which they’re double-digit favorites this season. That’s why they have felt so polarizing with impressive wins against the likes of the Detroit Lions while also suffering huge upsets by the Cleveland Browns and Carolina Panthers.
Well, this past weekend, Green Bay was in one of those huge-favorite roles against the depleted, Jameis Winston-led New York Giants. They still didn’t blow us out of the water in terms of a dominant performance, but they helped us hit one of our NFL best bets by going over their 24.5 team total.
It’s time to find another winner for our Vikings vs. Packers predictions, and winning is something Minnesota needs to get back to doing. After narrowly beating the Chicago Bears in Week 1 by a field goal, they just lost to them thanks to a walk-off field goal. As much trust as the franchise has put in JJ McCarthy, he continues to turn the ball over too much.
We also can’t ignore the elephant in the room for Green Bay. A massive key for any Vikings vs. Packers picks this week will be the status of Josh Jacobs. The TD machine of an RB left and didn’t return on Sunday, so let’s see how we can break this game down.
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Vikings vs. Packers Best Bet: Jordan Addison Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-117 at Novig)
As if a Josh Jacobs injury didn’t sound significant enough, the Packers also saw Jordan Love exit Sunday’s win over the Giants. Backup Malik Willis was far from awful, but regardless, Love returned and finished the game just fine. He would have affected the Vikings vs. Packers odds for Sunday far more than any Josh Jacobs question marks.
The stud RB is still going to be needed for Green Bay, as Minnesota’s defense ranks sixth in EPA per pass and 19th in EPA per rush. Those expected metrics have correlated to on-field numbers as well; the Vikings have allowed the 10th-most rushing yards per game and the eighth-fewest passing yards per game.
Without confirmation on Josh Jacobs, we’re going to focus our Vikings vs. Packers predictions on Minnesota exploiting Green Bay’s defense instead, which is the complete inverse of what we just broke down for the Vikes. That means far worse against the pass than the run, and therefore, a big day for Jordan Addison.
That’s right - not Justin Jefferson. Ok, he may have one too (consider anytime TD for him), but we see the most value here. Since JJ McCarthy’s return, Addison has seen 18 targets in the past two games, and while he scored this past Sunday, the yardage hasn’t been there yet. That changes this Sunday.
He’s had four games versus the Pack, eclipsing 69 yards in three of them - and scoring in three of them! Go for either approach, but we’ll lock in the best bet from our Vikings vs. Packers predictions on Jordan Addison over 34.5 receiving yards (-117 at Novig).
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How To Watch Vikings vs. Packers NFL Week 12
As is often the case, this Sunday’s NFC North rivalry is featured in the early window, and you can see how to watch Vikings vs. Packers NFL Week 12 below:
- Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
- When: 1 PM ET on 11/23
- Watch on TV: FOX
- Where to stream: YouTubeTV, Fubo, Hulu + Live TV
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Vikings vs. Packers Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
- Point Spread:Â Minnesota Vikings +6.5 (-107) vs. Green Bay Packers -6.5 (-108)
- Money Line: Minnesota Vikings (+252) vs. Green Bay Packers (-273)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 40.5 (-109) vs. Under 40.5 (-102)
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Vikings vs. Packers Injury Report & Latest News
Given how significant it is, we had to note the biggest Vikings vs. Packers injury news from the start - Josh Jacobs. That’s certainly not to diminish Jordan Love, but we saw him return and finish the game. Even kicker Brandon McManus being hurt is Vikings vs. Packers injury news worth noting, along with Jayden Reed taking steps towards getting back on the field.
In Minnesota, the recent return of JJ McCarthy alleviated their biggest concern for several weeks, but it was far from the only one. Both Jonathan Greenard and Isaiah Rodgers are very key defensive players, who are also part of Vikings vs. Packers injuries. Keep tabs on it all and plenty more with the Fantasy Alarm NFL injury report.
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