Steelers vs. Browns Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 4 Thursday Night Football, 10/1
For the second straight week, Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers have an AFC North matchup. In fact, with it coming against the Cleveland Browns, it’s also back-to-back divisional rivalries in Ohio. This one kicks off the entire NFL Week 4 slate, so you know that we have to add to it with our best Steelers vs. Browns predictions for Thursday Night Football. Of course, we can do better than that…
We’ll also show you how to make the best Steelers vs. Browns picks for TNF while claiming a guaranteed 30x DraftKings Sportsbook promo code bonus!
🔥 Steelers vs. Browns Predictions for Thursday Night Football, NFL Week 4
Vintage Aaron Rodgers. That is exactly what we saw from the future Hall of Famer this past Sunday with multiple long, explosive completions. They made the Cincinnati Bengals defense look like what we expected rather than what we saw from them the first two weeks. So, their passing attack may be part of many Steelers vs. Browns predictions.
That said, we don’t want to overreact to what we just saw and just one outlier. What has consistently been an issue for Pittsburgh is their own pass defense, which is why we cashed a Tee Higgins anytime TD at +220 with our NFL expert picks on Sunday. However, do the Browns have the firepower to exploit that?
Well, they are sitting at 2-1 (like the entire AFC North) after back-to-back wins, so the Deshaun Watson noise has quieted a bit. It’s still a matchup between two QBs that have their fair share of drama, but let’s focus on a best bet from our top Steelers vs. Browns predictions for TNF!
🏅 Steelers vs. Browns Expert Pick: Under 38 Points (-120 at DraftKings)
Look, we know that this is a very low total, and therefore, a tough click to make in terms of the under. That said, we’ll quickly note that you can get this line as high as 40.5 at some prediction markets for far more value. Either way, we just don’t trust these offenses enough to execute and ruin our Steelers vs. Browns predictions.
When it comes to Cleveland, they have been a team with a much stronger defense than offense for several seasons now, and even in last Sunday’s win, they still barely cracked 20 points. That’s the key to this pick, as the weakest unit in this game is the Pittsburgh pass defense. Well, outside of Harold Fannin Jr., the Browns offense just doesn’t scare us.
Without the ability to exploit the biggest weakness on the field, that further supports our Steelers vs. Browns predictions. On top of that, we just aren’t going to blindly trust Aaron Rodgers and company just because they made the Bengals defense look like what we expected. They still lack consistent explosiveness, which is required in today’s NFL.
Furthermore, the RBs in this matchup are the only ones with TD odds shorter than around +220. That speaks for itself, and it also means that a heavy ground attack grinds more clock away. We know that most fans prefer rooting for points, but under 38 points (-120 at DraftKings) is the best bet from our Steelers vs. Browns predictions.
👀 How To Watch Steelers vs. Browns NFL Week 4 Thursday Night Football
Nobody wants to miss the first game of a new week. So, make sure that you don’t by checking out how to watch Steelers vs. Browns NFL Week 4 Thursday Night Football:
- Where: Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, OH
- When: 8:15 PM ET on 10/1
- Where to stream: Amazon Prime Video exclusively
🔢 Steelers vs. Browns Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
If you want to keep things nice and simple rather than getting in the weeds with endless player props, here are the latest Steelers vs. Browns odds for TNF Week 4 at DraftKings Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5 (-112) vs. Cleveland Browns +2.5 (-108)
- Money Line: Pittsburgh Steelers (-148) vs. Cleveland Browns (+124)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 38 (+100) vs. Under 38 (-120)
🏉 Steelers vs. Browns Injury Report & Latest News
When it comes to Steelers vs. Browns news, the Joey Porter Jr. drama continues, and there is a Rico Dowdle injury, but from a macro perspective, these are largely healthy teams. Speaking of which, here’s the latest based on the Steelers vs. Browns injury report for Tuesday’s practice…
- RB Rico Dowdle (toe) – DNP
- CB Jalen Ramsey (wrist) – LP
- CB Brandin Echols (concussion) – LP
- CB Joey Porter Jr. (NIR - conditioning) – FP
- C Elgton Jenkins (concussion) – DNP
- WR Tylan Wallace (knee) – DNP
- OT Tytus Howard (knee) – LP
- G Teven Jenkins (back) – LP
- CB Tyson Campbell (knee) – LP
- S Grant Delpit (shoulder) – LP
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