What could possibly make the NFL Conference Championship Round of the NFL playoffs better? How about two division rivals squaring off for a trip to the Super Bowl? The Washington Commanders will travel to face the Philadelphia Eagles this week in an NFC East showdown!

The Eagles are the “big brother” right now as the division winner who has been there before. But the Washington Commanders are a dangerous team led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels. Let’s dig into those narratives, the data, and the injuries to make our NFL Conference Championship round predictions for Commanders vs. Eagles. 

You’re welcome to have other Commanders vs. Eagles picks as well and still claim the $150 DraftKings Sportsbook welcome offer that we’ve also shared below!

 

 

 

Commanders vs. Eagles Predictions For NFL Division Round Sunday

Naturally, as division rivals, these teams square off at least twice a year. This will be their third meeting - the Eagles won the first matchup in Philadelphia 26-18 but the Commanders won the second in Washington, 36-33. The Eagles have won six of the last eight but the tide could be turning as the Commanders ascend.

At one point the Commanders lost three straight to the Steelers, Eagles, and Cowboys. But they have since rattled off seven straight wins including a win over the Eagles and two playoffs wins on the road as underdogs. The Eagles have won 14 of their last 15 games with their lone loss coming vs. this Commanders team.

 

 

 

Washington Commanders: A New Era

The Commanders were smart about kicking off this new regime post-Dan Snyder. They got their rookie quarterback with the second pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. They didn’t go all in trying to win now but added some crafty veterans like Zach Ertz and Austin Ekeler. This team, in big thanks to them, Jayden Daniels, Terry McLaurin, and Brian Robinson has gone from “overachiever” to legitimate Super Bowl contender.

On defense the Commanders haven’t been incredible. FTN Fantasy has them ranked as the 23rd defense in the NFL per their DVOA stat, easily the worst of the remaining teams. They did make a crucial call to trade for shutdown corner Marshon Lattimore mid-season which has drastically improved their pass defense.

 

 

 

Philadelphia Eagles: Jalen Hurts' Health

This team is loaded with weapons. Jalen Hurts, AJ Brown, Saquon Barkley, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert are all Pro Bowl-caliber players when healthy. The big story right now is Jalen Hurts’s knee, which did not look right towards the end of last week. He’s expected to play this week but will likely be out there in a brace, which could limit his mobility.

The Eagles defense has arguably been the best in the league. That’s how FTN Fantasy sees it at least as they are ranked #1 in DVOA over there. Linebacker Zach Baun was had himself a breakout season as one of the league’s top defenders over the middle. Pro Football Focus grades him as the top cover linebacker in the league this season.

 

 

 

Commanders vs. Eagles Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines

You can see the previously mentioned double-digit point spread and each of the standard Commanders vs. Eagles odds at DraftKings Sportsbook below:

 

 

 

Commanders vs. Eagles: Saquon Barkley over 13.5 Rec Yards (-114 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

I think the Philadelphia Eagles win this game. Though I’m not in love with the moneyline or the spread - I think that’s capped pretty well. Where we can get an advantage is betting a specific Saquon Barkley prop bet. And that’s the over on his receiving yards set at 13.5.

If you look at his recent games, you might think this is a bad play. But we have to remember the context of his late season. He was chasing a 2,000 yard season and Eric Dickerson’s rushing record. They were opting for carries rather than wasting touches on designed passes as those plays had no bearing on the record. It’s blatantly obvious for that stretch of games vs. CAR, PIT, WAS, and DAL. This is a guy who you would typically expect to get 3-4 targets minimum.

On top of that, Jalen Hurts is dealing with the knee issue. That could limit his mobility and lead to more dump downs or designed quick hitters. Last week Barkley caught 4 of 4 targets but he doesn’t really even need that - all it could take is one screen pass for him to his 13.5 receiving yards. If you are as confident as we are, sprinkling some of the alternative lines at 25 or even 50 receiving yards is a fun play as well!

 

 

 

Commanders vs. Eagles Injury Report & Latest News

Finally, let’s take a quick look at the projected starting lineups for both teams heading into tonight’s matchup:

WAS Commanders

  • G Sam Cosmi - Out
  • QB Jeff Driskel - Questionable
  • DE Javontae Jean-Bapiste - Questionable
  • DT Daron Payne - Questionable

PHI Eagles

  • WR Brittain Covey - Out
  • DT Byron Young - Out
  • C Cam Jurgens - Questionable

 

 

 

DraftKings Sportsbook & Claim Your $150 Bonus

There is a unique DraftKings sign up bonus that you can snag alongside our Commanders vs. Eagles predictions, and it’s perfect for fans of these two teams:

  1. Sign up here for a new DK account
  2. Make an initial deposit of $5 or more
  3. Wager at least $5 on any sporting event

After that, $150 in bonus bets will be awarded either guaranteed or as long as that qualifying wager wins. For new users in AZ, CO, IL, IN, MA, NC, OH, PA and WY, they’re guaranteed, which is why it’s perfect for Panthers and Eagles fans.

As for new users in DC, IA, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, TN, VA and VT, $150 in bonus bets are credited as long as your $5+ bet wins. However, you can just take a huge money line favorite like Philly for a safer option! Either way, no DraftKings promo code is needed when you click here to join!