Welcome to the NFL Week 18 Saturday Slate!
Here we are – the dreaded Week 18. What's going to happen? Who's going to start? Simple questions with extremely complicated answers and the worst part is that few teams are making it easy for us, the DFS community. Do we take coaches and players at their word or do we assume there is a lot of coach-speak and gamesmanship involved? Some situations seem easier to assess than others, so when it comes to building lineups, I tend to stick with what I know rather than what I think. Does that make the lineups, especially ones we build on a short slate, a little too chalky. Maybe. But how many times have we seen the chalk hit? Plenty.
Today's two-game slate Playbook comes to us a little later than usual, simply because we want as much of the news as possible. We've probably learned enough over the last 24 hours to make a better determination but when it comes to his Cowboys/Eagles game, there is going to be slightly more supposition, so we need to be careful. Maybe that has us investing a little more in the Chiefs/Broncos, but there's nothing wrong with that. Better that we build a strong foundation and see what happens with a dart or two rather than just take a bunch of wild guesses.
Again, for short slates – whether it’s single-game or a two-game slate – your focus should be on GPP tournaments only. There is just too much overlap for cash games and given the COVID situation of at least two of these teams, there could be a lot of last-minute pivots as news comes rolling in. Having some skin in the game is great, but recognize the fact that you should not be over-investing in these contests. We all want to hit the million-dollar jackpots, but, as I’ve always said, these are more lottery tickets than they are a skill-based contest. Have some fun today and focus more of your bankroll and attention on Sunday.
OK. Lecture over. Let’s get to tonight’s action.
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
Spread: Chiefs -10.5
O/U: 44.5
Weather: potential showers with temperatures in the high-30s; winds NW at 6 mph
Notable Injuries:
Kansas City Chiefs
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB – shoulder (out)
Denver Broncos
- Brandon McManus, PK – COVID
- Sam Martin, P – COVID
- Shelby Harris, DE – illness (questionable)
- Patrick Surtain, DB – calf (out)
- Ronald Darby, DB – shoulder (out)
DVOA Defensive Rankings
Kansas City Chiefs
- vs Pass: 22nd
- vs Run: 19th
Denver Broncos
- vs Pass: 20th
- vs Run: 22nd
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
Spread: Cowboys -4
O/U: 43
Weather: clear skies with temperatures in the low-20s; winds SSE 4mph
Notable Injuries:
Dallas Cowboys
- Tony Pollard, RB – foot (out)
- Tyron Smith, LT – COVID
- Micah Parsons, LB – COVID
- Francis Bernard, LB – COVID
- Anthony Brown, DB – COVID
- Trevon Diggs, DB – illness (out)
- Jayron Kearse, SS – hamstring (out)
Philadelphia Eagles
- Miles Sanders, RB – hand (out)
- Boston Scott, RB – COVID
- Jordan Howard, RB – COVID
- Dallas Goedert, TE – COVID
- Jack Stoll, TE – COVID
- Landon Dickerson, LG – thumb (questionable)
- Nate Hedberg, RG – COVID
- Lane Johnson, RT – knee (questionable)
- Fletcher Cox, DT – COVID
- Gerard Avery, LB – COVID
- Alex Singleton, LB – COVID
- Rodney McLeod, SS – COVID
- Marcus Epps, SS – COVID
- Avonte Maddox, DB – COVID
DVOA Defensive Rankings
Dallas Cowboys
- vs Pass: 1st
- vs Run: 18th
Philadelphia Eagles
- vs Pass: 21st
- vs Run: 16th
Potential Captain/MVP Choices:
Chiefs/Broncos
- Patrick Mahomes, QB KC
- Tyreek Hill, WR KC
- Javonte Williams, RB DEN
Cowboys/Eagles
If the normal starters play:
- Dak Prescott, QB DAL
- Dalton Schultz, TE DAL
- Jalen Hurts, QB PHI
If the normal starters sit:
- Cedrick Wilson, WR DAL
- Jeremy Sprinkle, TE DAL
- Kenneth Gainwell, RB PHI
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Stacks
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