NFL Week 10 concludes tonight with a very interesting Monday Night Football game as Russell Wilson and the Denver Broncos head to upstate New York to take on Josh Allen and the Bills. It’s an interesting match-up, especially with regard to betting the game, because these two teams have been trending in opposite directions and people’s confidence in the Bills, except for Bills Mafia of course, is waning. The Broncos have won their last two games, most recently against the Kansas City Chiefs, and are well-rested and well-prepared coming off a bye. The Bills have lost two of their last three and have had their struggles on both sides of the ball. Do we believe what we’ve seen or do we look at this game differently? The Bills are favored here at home and we know what the Monday Night Football betting trends against the spread and game total have been, so let’s make some game picks and find a few player props to turn ourselves a nice profit and finish the week strong.



NFL Monday Night Football Best Bets: Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

The Spread: Bills -7

There is so much talk about how the Bills have been struggling and how Denver has seemingly turned their world around. They’ve stifled Patrick Mahomes twice in their last three games and their defense has allowed an average of 15 points over that span. They’re rested from the bye and ready to take Buffalo by storm. The Bills, on the other hand, are struggling through this season having lost two of three and three of their last five. But the Broncos are 2-5-1 against the spread this season and the Bills are 3-6 so something has to give, right? While I haven’t tracked the public-money movement, the fact that only 60-percent are on the Bills minus the seven points tells me more people are buying into the narrative that the Broncos have a fighting chance in this one and, frankly, I just don’t see it. Allen is a big rebound guy, so coming off a loss to the Bengals, I see him putting this team on his back and leading them to victory. While I think they can cover the touchdown, I’ll take a bit more juice to ensure I get the win and turn to the alt spread in this one.

Pick: Bills -6.5 (-125 BetMGM)

The Total: 47.5

The under is 10-1 on Monday Night Football, 6-3 in Bills games and 4-4 in Broncos games, so it’s of no surprise that 86-percent of the public money is on the under. It actually might be a pretty safe bet to just go with the trend, especially because I think the Bills win this one pretty handily and Von Miller terrorizes his former team. A 28-17 game doesn’t seem so far-fetched here, does it? Maybe 31-14? Either way, I don’t feel the need to be too contrarian here.

Pick: Under 47.5 (-110 BetMGM/Caesars)

Favorite Monday Night Football Player Props: