Chalkboard NFL Picks For Super Bowl Sunday: Player Projections & Fantasy Picks

Our Chalkboard strategy for this Super Bowl LX showdown focuses on the macro trends of the matchup rather than individual player volatility. We are looking at the defensive identities of both squads to define the narrative of this game. We are targeting an alternative total that respects the elite nature of these defenses and a spread pick backing the resilient underdog. With both coaching staffs looking to minimize risk and control the clock, we expect a tight, low-scoring affair.

Chalkboard DFS Fantasy Football Picks for Super Bowl Sunday

Alternative Total Chalkboard Pick: Under 46.5 Points

This number is the strongest play on the board when you consider the defensive profiles involved. Both the Seahawks and Patriots boast top-five scoring defenses, and Super Bowls historically start slow as teams feel each other out in the first quarter. Mike Macdonald's defense has been the league's best at disguising coverages, which will force New England into a conservative, run-heavy game plan to protect their young quarterback.

On the other side, the Patriots' defensive front, bolstered by Milton Williams, has the ability to stall Seattle's drives in the red zone, forcing field goals instead of touchdowns. With the clock likely moving fast due to heavy run volume from Kenneth Walker and Rhamondre Stevenson, possessions will be limited. We expect a 24-20 type of game, keeping this comfortably under the total.

New England Patriots (+4.5) Spread Chalkboard Pick

The Patriots have thrived in the underdog role throughout this postseason, and 4.5 points is simply too much respect for a Seattle offense that can be inconsistent. New England's defense has been elite at limiting explosive plays and taking away the opponent's top option, which will keep them within striking distance all game.

Drake Maye has shown maturity beyond his years, avoiding the catastrophic mistakes that usually doom rookies. By leaning on Rhamondre Stevenson to control the clock and relying on a stout defensive front to harass Sam Darnold, the Patriots should be able to drag this game into the fourth quarter. In a low-scoring defensive battle, getting more than a field goal with the team that has the better run game is the sharp side.

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