Looking for the best Dabble NFL picks today? Week 4's Sunday slate features an MVP-caliber start in Kansas City and a Jaguars tight end who draws one of the softer matchups in football. Below, we break down our top Dabble NFL picks for this Week 4 slate, complete with player projections and the matchup angles behind each play.

Chiefs vs. Raiders and Jaguars vs. Bengals: Game Outlook & Key Matchups

Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs head to Las Vegas for a divisional showdown with first place in the AFC West on the line, while Brenton Strange and the Jaguars travel to Cincinnati for a game that carries one of the highest totals on the Week 4 board. Here's where we're finding the value on Dabble for this slate.

 

 

 

Best Dabble NFL Picks for Sunday, Week 4

Patrick Mahomes NFL Dabble Pick: Higher 1.5 Passing TDs

Mahomes has been outstanding through three games, completing 68.4% of his passes for 812 yards with seven touchdowns against only two interceptions, good for a 108.9 rating. He's found multiple touchdown passes in every game this season, highlighted by a three-score effort in a Week 2 shootout win over Indianapolis, and there's no reason for Kansas City to change course in a divisional game with first place in the AFC West up for grabs. Clearing 1.5 passing touchdowns looks like a very safe floor given how this season has gone so far.

Brenton Strange NFL Dabble Pick: Higher 32.5 Receiving Yards

Strange has settled into a limited but steady role for Jacksonville, posting 23, 17, and 32 receiving yards across his first three games on just a 12.3% target share. This week's matchup sets up as a great chance to push past that, with Cincinnati having allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to tight ends through three weeks in a game whose total sits in the low 50s, among the highest of the Week 4 slate. A locked-in No. 1 tight end role in a likely shootout against a defense this generous to the position gives Strange a real shot at a new season high.

 

 

 

Dabble NFL Player Projections for Week 4 Sunday

Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Mahomes and Strange as our top plays for Sunday, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Dabble pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.

 

How to Play These Dabble NFL Picks With Promo Code ALARM & Get Over $50 in Bonuses

Ready to build a lineup around these picks? Sign up for Dabble with promo code ALARM and unlock over $50 in bonuses to get started. Just create an account, make a qualifying deposit, and the bonus offers apply automatically - no extra steps needed. Check out all of Fantasy Alarm's active offers for even more ways to load up on extra plays around a Week 4 Sunday slate that's already stacked with value.