Looking for the best Dabble NFL picks today to close out Week 4? The 1-2 Falcons visit the 1-2 Saints on Monday Night Football with a total near 47.5 and a pair of offenses that match up well against flawed defenses. Below, we break down our top Dabble NFL picks for this NFC South showdown, complete with player projections and the matchup angles behind each play.

Falcons vs. Saints: Game Outlook & Key Matchups

Atlanta found its footing in Penix's return, piling up 498 yards in a 35-14 win over Green Bay, while New Orleans owns the league's third-ranked passing offense but is without Etienne, who landed on injured reserve this week. The Falcons have the NFL's top-ranked run defense but sit 29th against the pass, which sets up a game where the Saints' quarterback and Atlanta's top receiver both have room to produce. Here's where we're finding the value on Dabble for this one.

 

 

 

Best Dabble NFL Picks for MNF, Week 4

Tyler Shough NFL Dabble Pick: Higher 1.5 Passing TDs

Through three games, Shough has completed 91 of 132 passes for 917 yards, eight touchdowns, and three interceptions, and his 91 completions pace the NFL. He threw three touchdown passes against Detroit and four against Las Vegas, and in the lone exception, a win at Baltimore, he threw one and ran for another. The Saints lead the league in pass attempts and rank third in passing yards at 281.3 per game, and they face an Atlanta defense that sits 29th against the pass at 263.0 yards allowed per game with just five sacks. Even without Etienne in the backfield, New Orleans should keep leaning on its quarterback, which makes clearing 1.5 touchdown passes a strong play.

Drake London NFL Dabble Pick: Higher 5.5 Receptions

Penix's return flipped London's season, with nine catches for a career-high 194 yards against Green Bay after he managed just six catches for 80 yards in the first two games with Rush. In 13 games with Penix starting, London has averaged 7.0 receptions and 104.3 yards while commanding a 32.9% target share. The Saints have allowed 200-plus passing yards in every game this season and surrendered 30-plus points to both Detroit and Las Vegas, with their front seven dealing with injuries. As the clear No. 1 option for a road team that may need to throw, clearing 5.5 receptions looks very doable.

Dabble NFL Player Projections for Falcons vs. Saints

Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Shough and London as our top plays for this game, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Dabble pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.

 

 

 

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