We’re almost through Week 11, but we have one final game between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs before we can close the chapter and move into Week 12. As always, this week with some big surprises, including a New York Giants win over the Washington Commanders, a HUGE game by Calvin Ridley and Trevor Lawrence, and the Denver Broncos won a close one against the Passtronaut, Joshua Dobbs. If your fantasy teams have already laid down and given up this week, don’t worry; there’s still a way to have fun before it ends!
We’ve joined forces with our friends at Sleeper to introduce their Sleeper Picks feature. With Sleeper Picks, you can choose from a variety of players and stat lines, choose whether that player will have more or less than the given stat, and combine your picks for a chance to increase your payout. If you build enough, you can even multiply your entry up to 100x! Yesterday, we went two of three, as we weren’t banking on Dak Prescott to be pulled before the end of the game, but hey, it is what it is. Let’s look at what Monday Night Football has to offer us.
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NFL Sleeper Top Picks & Plays for Monday Night Football
There’s not a de facto wide receiver one on the Chiefs offense, but rookie Rashee Rice has made a case that he should be it. He’s had some breakout games and has become a red zone threat for Kansas City, but what’s more promising is his ability to separate and gain yards after the catch. He doesn’t need a huge target share to be productive, as on just 32 receptions (47th), he’s gained 263 yards after the catch (12th). Rice also excels against zone coverage, earning the third-most fantasy points per route run against it, and the Eagles have not been able to contain wide receivers this season. Even with a somewhat limited target share, Rice should easily be able to gain yardage due to his explosiveness.
Pick: Rashee Rice more than 42.5 receiving yards (1.76x)
I’m not knocking Jalen Hurts, but passing touchdowns haven’t been the Eagles bread and butter this season. They’ve only averaged 1.67 passing touchdowns per game, but against a tough Chiefs defense that has only allowed 12 through nine games, it could be a tall order. The Chiefs have also allowed the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game to the quarterback position, largely in part due to their ability to keep them out of the end zone. Now, Hurts could get in the end zone due to the “Brotherly Shove,” but I’m not counting on a ton of red zone efficiency against a defense that ranks third in pass DVOA.
Pick: Jalen Hurts less than 1.5 passing touchdowns (1.59x)
While the Dallas Cowboys were able to halt Brown’s streak of 125+ receiving yard games in Week 10, he should have a slightly better matchup tonight against the Chiefs. Yes, the Chiefs defense has been good, but they play man at a top-ten rate in the league, where Brown has excelled. When faced with man coverage, Brown has seen a 36.8% target share, has a 48.3% win rate, and is averaging just over 14 yards per reception, so if he continues to see his average reception rate of 7.44 per game, he should be able to return to the elite production he’s seen all season.
Pick: A.J. Brown more than 80.5 receiving yards (1.78x)
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