Looking for the best NBA player props today? Thursday's two-game NBA slate is short, and new users can back our two Underdog plays with extra value by signing up with Underdog promo code ALARM. Today's NBA pick'em picks feature the greatest shooter ever against the worst three-point defense in the league, and both grade out well in Fantasy Alarm's NBA DFS Projections.
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Our best Underdog picks for Thursday, November 5, 2026, at a glance:
- Stephen Curry Higher 4.5 Three-Pointers Made: Heat at Warriors, 10 p.m. ET. Curry has made 19 threes over his last three games, and Miami allows a league-high 17.1 made threes per game.
- Anthony Black Higher 14.5 Points: Magic at Suns, 9 p.m. ET. Black is averaging 16.5 points and has cleared this line in three of four games.
Underdog NBA Picks: Thursday, 11/5; NBA DFS Projections
With only two games on Thursday's board, every Underdog line for NBA player props gets extra attention, and rest news matters with Miami and Phoenix both on the second night of a back-to-back. Fantasy Alarm's NBA DFS Projections give you a number for every player on the slate, so you can see which Underdog lines still hold value before tipoff.
An All Pro membership unlocks complete access to our NBA DFS Projections and the rest of Fantasy Alarm's premium NBA tools for the full season. If you're building Underdog NBA picks every night, All Pro gives you the same data we use for ours.
Stephen Curry NBA Underdog Pick: Higher 4.5 Three-Pointers Made
Curry is shooting the lights out. He's averaging 30.0 points and 4.5 made threes on 10.5 attempts per game, shooting 42.9% from deep, and he's cleared this line in each of his last three games with six threes at Minnesota, eight against the Lakers, and five against Phoenix.
His volume is climbing, too. Curry has taken 16, 14 and 13 threes over that stretch, and Golden State has won five straight games with him running the offense.
The matchup is ideal. Miami allows opponents to shoot 40.5% from three, the worst mark in the NBA, and gives up a league-high 17.1 made threes per game. The Heat are also on the second night of a back-to-back after playing in Los Angeles on Wednesday, which usually means slower closeouts. Golden State is a 7.5-point favorite, so the only real risk is a blowout. Curry at Higher 4.5 threes leads off our card of NBA props for Thursday.
Anthony Black NBA Underdog Pick: Higher 14.5 Points
Black has been one of Orlando's most productive players since making his season debut, averaging 16.5 points on 52.5% shooting and 47.4% from three. He's cleared this line in three of four games, scoring 18 at New York, 17 with 10 assists in Toronto, and 23 with eight rebounds against Boston.
With Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs both out, the Magic need his creation. Black is playing 28.0 minutes a night and has taken on a bigger ball-handling role, and he's getting to the line, going 10-of-11 on free throws against the Celtics.
Black did not play Monday against Washington, so confirm he's active before you lock this in. If he plays, the matchup is strong: Phoenix allows 121.5 points per 100 possessions, the worst mark in the league according to ESPN's Hollinger team stats; opponents are shooting 40.3% from three against the Suns, and Phoenix is on the second night of a back-to-back. Black at Higher 14.5 points rounds out our Underdog NBA picks.
Unlock Your $75 Bonus & More With Underdog Promo Code ALARM
New to Underdog? Sign up with Underdog promo code ALARM to unlock your $75 bonus and more, then put it to work on Thursday's Underdog NBA picks.
How to claim the Underdog offer:
- Download the Underdog app on iOS or Android, or visit the Underdog website.
- Create your account and enter promo code ALARM during registration.
- Choose your welcome offer and make your first deposit.
- Build your first entry with Curry and Black, or your own plays from Thursday's two-game slate.
What are the best Underdog NBA picks today?
For Thursday, November 5, 2026, our top Underdog plays are Stephen Curry Higher 4.5 three-pointers against the Heat and Anthony Black Higher 14.5 points against the Suns.
Is Stephen Curry a good Higher threes play against the Heat?
Yes. Curry is averaging 4.5 made threes, has hit at least five in each of his last three games, and faces a Miami defense that allows a league-high 17.1 made threes per game.
What is the Underdog promo code?
The Underdog promo code is ALARM. Enter it when you register to unlock Underdog's welcome offer.
Then check back with Fantasy Alarm every day for new Underdog NBA picks and our NBA DFS Projections all season long.