Scottie Barnes Underdog NBA Picks Today, 3/13: Basketball Projections + More

We are back with another high-stakes Friday slate, and the Underdog Fantasy board is ripe with opportunity. As we get deeper into the season, we are seeing usage rates spike for role players and rebounding ceilings drop for stars as rosters get healthy. If you want to build a winning entry today, you need to be looking at these two specific spots.

Stay ahead of the field by using our Data Edge Picks and verified Expert Picks to navigate today's daily rotation changes.

Scottie Barnes, Toronto Raptors — Lower than 6.5 Rebounds

The Underdog projections are still stuck on early-season numbers for Scottie Barnes, but the reality in Toronto has shifted. Barnes has gone lower than 6.5 rebounds in eight straight games. He is averaging just 6.9 rebound chances per game lately, which is not nearly enough volume to consistently hit this number.

With Jakob Poeltl healthy in the middle and RJ Barrett cleaning up the perimeter glass, Barnes is being squeezed out of his rebounding opportunities. Add in a slow-paced matchup against a Phoenix Suns team that ranks 25th in pace, and the rebound floor here is much lower than this projection suggests.

De'Anthony Melton, Golden State Warriors — Higher than 15.5 Points

De'Anthony Melton has officially emerged as a primary scoring engine for the Warriors, clearing this number in six of his last eight games. Over his last 10 contests, Melton is sporting a massive 29% usage rate, confirming he is the focal point when he is on the floor.

Even against a big Timberwolves team, Melton’s role is undeniable. Minnesota has allowed 119-plus points in three straight games, including 153 in their last outing. With Melton playing 25-plus minutes a night and consistently getting high-volume looks, he is in a prime spot to produce against a defense that has lost its identity.

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